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Serie A

Cremonese - Como

05/24/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Cremonese
0.9
Total xG
1.9
Como
1.0
最可能的比分

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
CRECOM

Cremonese

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.43
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第5位, 相差13位)
-0.13
状态上升 (1.2 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.07
Federico Baschirotto未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)

Como

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.25
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (1.5 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.16
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第18位, 相差13位)
+0.06
Nico Paz替补席 (12球, 6助攻)
Álex Valle未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

35%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

58%

Under 1.5

42%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

65%

双方进球

39%

61%

关键因素
  • League position: Como is in 5th place, while Cremonese is fighting relegation in 18th place
  • Defensive strength: Como has one of the league's best defenses, conceding an average of 0.76 goals per game
  • Offensive comparison: Como scores an average of 1.65 goals per game, Cremonese only 0.84 goals
概述

Cremonese (18th place, 34 points) host Como (5th place, 68 points) at the Stadio Giovanni Zini

Serie A match on May 24, 2026, 8:45 PM

The hosts are fighting relegation, while Como is vying for European places

近期状态

Cremonese showed a form of DLLWW in their last five games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses during this period

Como, on the other hand, presented a form of LWDWW in their last five games

This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Cremonese has won two consecutive games recently

Como also achieved two consecutive victories

统计数据

Cremonese scored an average of 0.84 goals per game and conceded 1.43 goals per match

At home, they scored an average of 0.85 goals and conceded 1.25 goals

Como is stronger offensively with an average of 1.65 goals per game and a strong defense that allows only 0.76 goals

Away from home, they scored an average of 1.62 goals and conceded 0.81 goals

At Stadio Giovanni Zini, an average of 2.8 goals were scored in the last 5 games

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Cremonese and Como so far

This game ended in a 1:1 draw on September 27, 2025

Both teams scored 1 goal each in this single encounter

The historical record shows an even relationship

关键球员

Federico Bonazzoli is Cremonese's top scorer with 9 season goals and 2 assists

Jamie Vardy has contributed 7 season goals and 2 assists

Alberto Grassi shows a rising form with a current rating of 6.97 in the last 5 games

Not nominated: Federico Baschirotto (2G/0A)

Anastasios Douvikas is Como's top scorer with 13 season goals and 1 assist

Martin Baturina scored 6 season goals and 3 assists, with a rising form (7.49 in the last 5 games)

Lucas Da Cunha contributed 4 season goals and 5 assists and also shows an upward form (7.41 in the last 5 games)

Not nominated: Nico Paz (12G/6A), Álex Valle (1G/4A)

门将

Emil Audero of Cremonese kept 11 clean sheets this season

Jean Butez of Como recorded 19 clean sheets

影响因素

Cremonese scored an average of 0.85 goals at home and conceded 1.25 goals

Como scored an average of 1.62 goals away and conceded 0.81 goals

At Stadio Giovanni Zini, an average of 2.8 goals were scored in the last 5 games

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and 4 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

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