🇮🇹

Serie A

Napoli - Udinese

05/24/2026, 04:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Napoli
1.6
Total xG
2.7
Udinese
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
NAPUDI

Napoli

状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.20
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第10位, 相差8位)
+0.06
Kevin De Bruyne 替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Sam Beukema替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Udinese

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.14
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第2位, 相差8位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
Nicolò Zaniolo未进大名单 (5球, 6助攻)
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp未进大名单 (5球, 3助攻)
Adam Buksa替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Hassane Kamara未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

28%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

72%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis favors Napoli with a 47% home win probability
  • Napoli shows a solid defensive performance at home, conceding an average of 0.86 goals per home game
  • Napoli dominated in their last 5 games with an average of 59% possession, while recording an average of 4.2 shots on target
风险因素
  • Napoli lost 2 of their last 5 home games, indicating some inconsistency
  • Udinese won the last head-to-head encounter against Napoli with a score of 0:1
概述

Napoli (2nd place, 73 points) hosts Udinese (10th place, 50 points) at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. The Serie A match takes place on May 24, 2026, 6:00 PM. Napoli is contending for top positions in the league, while Udinese is in the midfield of the table. Mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a probability of 47%

近期状态

Napoli's form in the last five games has been LWDLW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last match was a 3-0 win against Pisa. Udinese's form in the last five games has been LDWWL, also with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last result was a 0-1 loss against Cremonese. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Napoli averages 1.54 goals scored per game and concedes 0.97 goals per game over the season. They kept 14 clean sheets. Udinese averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded per game with 11 clean sheets. In home games, Napoli averages 1.52 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded. Udinese averages 1.23 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded in away games. The venue has seen an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head matches, Napoli recorded 2 wins, Udinese 1 win, and there were 2 draws. Napoli scored 9 goals and Udinese 5 goals. The last encounter on December 14, 2025, ended in a 0-1 away win for Udinese. Historically, Napoli has been dominant in recent matchups

关键球员

For Napoli, Rasmus Højland is an important offensive player with 11 goals and 5 assists this season. Scott McTominay contributed 10 goals and 3 assists and shows stable form. Alisson Santos added 4 goals. On Udinese's side, Keinan Davis is the top attacker with 10 goals and 4 assists. Arthur Atta scored 5 goals and 3 assists. Oumar Solet, a defender, recently showed a rising form

门将

Napoli goalkeeper Alex Meret has an average rating of 6.7 in 10 season appearances. The Napoli team recorded 14 clean sheets. Udinese goalkeeper Maduka Okoye made 29 season appearances with an average rating of 6.79. Udinese achieved 11 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Napoli shows a solid performance at home with an average of 1.52 goals scored and only 0.86 goals conceded per game. The last 5 matches at the venue recorded an average of 3.0 goals per game. The grass surface is a factor

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。