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Serie A

Lazio - Pisa

05/23/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Lazio
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Pisa
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
LAZPIS

Lazio

排名优势 (第9位 vs 第20位, 相差11位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.06
Kenneth Taylor未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)

Pisa

防守不足 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.91
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.22
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第9位, 相差11位)
-0.11
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 0.7 赛季平均)
-0.10
Antonio Caracciolo未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

31%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

69%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Pisa's dire form (5 consecutive losses) and very weak defense (1.86 goals conceded per game)
  • The mathematical model predicts a 46% win probability for Lazio with 1.35 expected goals
  • Lazio's home advantage against the league's weakest team, despite their own recent dip in form
风险因素
  • Lazio's recent negative form trend in goal production (currently 1.0 compared to season average of 1.2)
  • Pisa's extremely low season goal average of 0.68 goals per game indicates a generally low-scoring affair
  • The only head-to-head encounter between these two teams resulted in a goalless 0:0 draw
概述

Lazio (9th place, 51 points) host Pisa (20th place, 18 points) at the Stadio Olimpico

Serie A match on May 23, 2026, 8:45 PM

Lazio aims to solidify its position in the table, while Pisa is struggling against relegation and is last

近期状态

Lazio is in a difficult phase of form, with a form string of DWLLL

The last five matches include 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Most recently, they suffered three consecutive losses

Pisa shows extremely poor form, recording five consecutive losses

The form string is LLLLL with 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses

统计数据

Lazio scores an average of 1.05 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.05 goals

The team kept 15 clean sheets and both teams scored in 10 matches

Pisa has one of the weakest offenses in the league with an average of 0.68 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.86 goals

Pisa kept 5 clean sheets, while both teams scored in 15 matches

At the Stadio Olimpico, an average of 3.4 goals per game are scored

The rate for both teams to score is 20%

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the matches

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Lazio and Pisa so far

This game ended in a 0:0 draw on October 30, 2025

The historical record is even

关键球员

For Lazio, Pedro (4 goals, 2 assists) and Tijjani Noslin (4 goals, 1 assist) are key offensive players

Matteo Cancellieri also contributes 4 goals and 2 assists

For Pisa, Stefano Moreo is the top scorer with 6 goals and 1 assist

Mehdi Léris has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists

Simone Canestrelli scored 1 goal this season

Not nominated: Kenneth Taylor (3G/2A) for Lazio

Not nominated: Antonio Caracciolo (2G/0A) for Pisa

门将

Alessio Furlanetto is in goal for Lazio

Lazio recorded 15 clean sheets this season

Adrian Semper is Pisa's goalkeeper

Pisa achieved 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Lazio has scored 25 goals and conceded 24 goals in home games

Pisa concedes an average of 1.79 goals per away game

The Stadio Olimpico averages 3.4 goals per game

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