🇮🇹

Serie A

Parma - Sassuolo

05/24/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Parma
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Sassuolo
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

10%

1:0

10%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
PARSAS

Parma

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.61倍)
-0.20
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.04
Gabriel Strefezza替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Adrián Bernabé未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Enrico Delprato替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)

Sassuolo

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.27
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.14
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
Cristian Volpato未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Tarik Muharemović替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Nemanja Matic替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
M'Bala Nzola替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

32%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Offensive Form: Sassuolo is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals) than Parma (0.8 goals)
  • Squad Impact: Parma is missing 17% of their usual goal threat due to unlisted players like Gabriel Strefezza (2G/2A) and Adrián Bernabé (3G/1A)
  • Tactical Approach: Parma averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
风险因素
  • Home Weakness: Parma scores an average of only 0.71 goals per home game
  • Low Chances: Parma averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Prediction Uncertainty: The mathematical analysis shows a low probability for both teams to score (47%) and over 2.5 goals (39%)
概述

Parma (13th place, 42 points) host Sassuolo (11th place, 49 points) at the Stadio Ennio Tardini

Serie A match on May 24, 2026, 3:00 PM

Sassuolo holds a seven-point lead in the league table

The mathematical analysis indicates a very balanced match with a slight edge for Sassuolo (35% win probability compared to 33% for Parma)

近期状态

Parma's league form is WWLLL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)

Parma has suffered three consecutive losses recently

Sassuolo's league form is WDWLL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

Sassuolo has also lost their last two matches

According to advanced statistics, Parma's current goal production (0.8) is lower than their season average (0.9)

Sassuolo is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.3)

统计数据

Parma averages 0.73 goals scored per game and concedes 1.24 goals per game this season

At home, they average 0.71 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded per home game

Parma has kept 12 clean sheets this season

Sassuolo averages 1.24 goals scored per game and concedes 1.32 goals per game this season

Away from home, they average 1.24 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded per away game

Sassuolo has managed 8 clean sheets this season

At the Stadio Ennio Tardini, an average of 2.4 goals per game have been scored

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 matches

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Parma and Sassuolo

This match ended in a 1-1 draw on January 3, 2026

Both teams scored one goal each in their last encounter

The historical record between the teams is therefore even

关键球员

For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino is the top scorer with 8 season goals and 1 assist

Mandela Keita contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season, scoring 1 goal in the last 5 games

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia provided 3 assists this season, with 1 in the last 5 games

For Sassuolo, Armand Laurienté is a key attacking player with 7 goals and 9 assists this season, recently with 2 goals and 2 assists

Andrea Pinamonti scored 9 season goals and 3 assists, including 1 goal in the last 5 games

Kristian Thorstvedt has contributed 4 goals and 4 assists this season, with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

门将

Edoardo Corvi is in goal for Parma

Parma has kept 12 clean sheets this season

Stefano Turati is the goalkeeper for Sassuolo

Sassuolo has managed to keep 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Parma averages 0.71 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded at home

Sassuolo averages 1.24 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded away from home

An average of 2.4 total goals per game were scored at the Stadio Ennio Tardini

Both teams scored in 60% of matches at this stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 20%

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