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Serie A

Bologna - Inter

05/23/2026, 04:00 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
Bologna
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Inter
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
BOLINT

Bologna

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.13
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第1位, 相差7位)
-0.09
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.01
Riccardo Orsolini未进大名单 (10球, 1助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)

Inter

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Marcus Thuram未进大名单 (13球, 6助攻)
Alessandro Bastoni替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
Manuel Akanji未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

31%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Inter Milan's dominant season performance as league leaders with 86 points and a strong offense (2.32 goals/game)
  • Inter's strong form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games compared to Bologna's mixed form (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
  • Inter's tactical superiority with an average of 4.8 shots on target compared to Bologna's 3.0 shots in the last 5 games
风险因素
  • Bologna's average of 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Inter's recent dip in goal production (2.0 goals/game) compared to their season average (2.3 goals/game)
  • Bologna concedes an average of 1.54 goals at home, which is above their season average (1.16 goals/game)
概述

Bologna (8th place, 55 points) host Inter (1st place, 86 points) at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The Serie A match takes place on May 23, 2026, 6:00 PM. Inter have already won the league and Bologna are in the mid-table.

近期状态

Bologna shows mixed form in their last five matches with "LLDWW", which translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last game ended in a win. Inter are unbeaten in their last five games with a form of "DWWWD", including 3 wins and 2 draws. Inter's last game was a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Inter demonstrates strong season performance with an average of 2.32 goals per game and only 0.86 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they are also offensively strong with 2.4 goals per game. Bologna averages 1.24 goals scored and 1.16 goals conceded per game. At home, Bologna scores 1.23 goals but concedes 1.54 goals per home game. Inter recorded 18 clean sheets this season, Bologna 12. The Stadio Renato Dall'Ara has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 1 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 1 out of 5 games.

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Bologna and Inter, Bologna secured 2 wins, Inter also had 2 wins, and there was 1 draw. Bologna scored 6 goals, while Inter scored 7. The last encounter on January 4, 2026, was won by Inter away with a score of 3:1.

关键球员

For Bologna, Santiago Castro (7 goals, 2 assists), Jonathan Rowe (3 goals, 2 assists, 1 goal and 1 assist in last 5 games), and Federico Bernardeschi (3 goals, 2 assists, 1 goal in last 5 games) could be decisive. For Inter, Lautaro Martínez (17 goals, 6 assists, 2 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games), Federico Dimarco (6 goals, 17 assists, 3 assists in last 5 games), and Nicolò Barella (3 goals, 8 assists) are key players.

门将

Lukasz Skorupski is the goalkeeper for Bologna, while Josep Martínez starts for Inter. Inter recorded 18 clean sheets this season, Bologna 12.

影响因素

Bologna's home record shows 16 goals scored and 20 goals conceded. The Stadio Renato Dall'Ara has a low goal-scoring rate in the last 5 matches, with an average of 2.0 goals per game, 1 out of 5 games where both teams scored, and 1 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals.

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