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Coppa Italia

Como - Inter

03/03/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Como
1.5
Total xG
3.1
Inter
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
COMINT

Como

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.91倍)
+0.34
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.12
Nico Paz未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Martin Baturina未进首发 (4球, 3助攻)
Marc Oliver Kempf未进首发 (4球, 0助攻)
Álex Valle未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

Inter

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
+0.53
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.25
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.8 vs 2.3 赛季平均)
-0.14
Federico Dimarco未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Lautaro Martínez未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Marcus Thuram未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Piotr Zieliński未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Luis Henrique未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Henrikh Mkhitaryan未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Petar Sučić未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Manuel Akanji未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
47%进球产出缺失 (仅58%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

27%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

73%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Offensive clash: Inter's high-volume attack (average 7.0 shots on target) meets Como's disciplined defense (only 0.74 goals conceded per game)
  • Clear H2H record: Inter has won all of the last 3 meetings against Como, with an impressive 8-0 goal aggregate
  • Como's home strength: At home, Como is very stable defensively, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per game
风险因素
  • Heavy rotation for Inter: Only 59% of the usual offensive power is available, as key players like Lautaro Martínez (14 goals) and Federico Dimarco (14 assists) are missing
  • Short recovery time: Both teams have had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
概述

Coppa Italia match between Como and Inter at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Kick-off is on March 3, 2026, 9:00 PM

The mathematical prediction is extremely balanced, with a 36% chance for a home win, 27% for a draw, and 37% for an away win

近期状态

Como (Form: DLDWW) is unbeaten in three matches and has won its last two games

Overall, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games

Inter (Form: WLWLW) shows inconsistent form with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five encounters

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

With an average of 2.37 goals per game, Inter has one of the strongest attacks

Como, on the other hand, boasts a solid defense, conceding only 0.74 goals per game

At home, Como is even more stable with just 0.67 goals conceded per game

An average of 3.4 goals are scored per game at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, and 80% of the last matches saw over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

Inter has clearly dominated the last 3 direct encounters

Inter won all 3 matches with an impressive goal difference of 8-0

The last meeting ended in a 4-0 victory for Inter

关键球员

For Como, Anastasios Douvikas stands out with 9 goals this season

Jesús Rodríguez is the most important playmaker with 7 assists

In midfield, Máximo Perrone pulls the strings with 2 goals and 4 assists

For Inter, Hakan Çalhanoğlu is a central figure with 8 goals and 2 assists

Nicolò Barella has already contributed 5 assists, while Pio Esposito has recorded 4 goals and 4 assists

门将

Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez has kept 13 clean sheets this season

For Inter, Josep Martínez is in goal, having made 2 appearances so far this season

The Inter team has kept a total of 15 clean sheets

影响因素

The Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals in recent matches

Como is strong at home, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals

Inter is extremely dangerous away from home, scoring an average of 2.36 goals per game on the road

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