Coppa Italia
Lazio - Atalanta
03/04/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.8
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Lazio
Atalanta
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
27%
平局
28%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
73%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Atalanta's offensive and form advantage: Atalanta is not only in better form but also scores significantly more goals (recently 1.8 goals per game) than Lazio's struggling offense (0.8 goals), according to stats.
- Tactical superiority: Atalanta is dominant in possession (56%) and averages 6.2 shots on target, whereas Lazio poses much less of a threat with only 3.0 shots on target.
- Head-to-head and prediction: Atalanta has dominated recent encounters, including a 2-0 win just recently, and is clearly favored by the prediction model with a 45% win probability.
风险因素
- Short recovery time: Both teams have had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue.
- Lazio's defensive strength at home: Lazio is tough to beat at home, conceding less than one goal per game on average (0.84).
概述
Lazio hosts Atalanta at the Stadio Olimpico for a Coppa Italia match
Kick-off is on March 4, 2026, at 9:00 PM
Based on predictions, Atalanta enters the match as favorites with a 45% probability of winning
近期状态
Lazio is winless in their last five matches, with a form of DDLDL (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses)
Atalanta shows a better record with a form of WLWWL (3 wins, 2 losses)
Both teams lost their most recent match
统计数据
Atalanta has the more dangerous attack, averaging 1.37 goals per game compared to Lazio's 0.96
Defensively, Atalanta is also slightly more stable with 0.89 goals conceded per game, versus Lazio's 1.0
Notably, Lazio has failed to score in 14 of 27 matches this season
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Atalanta has the upper hand with 2 wins to Lazio's 1, with 2 draws
The goal difference is 6-3 in favor of Atalanta
The last meeting took place recently and ended in a 2-0 victory for Atalanta
关键球员
Danilo Cataldi (3 goals, 3 assists), Gustav Isaksen (3 goals, 1 assist), and Mattia Zaccagni (3 goals) are key offensive players
For Atalanta, Nikola Krstović (7 goals, 4 assists), Mario Pašalić (3 goals, 4 assists), and Nicola Zalewski (2 goals, 3 assists) are crucial
门将
The goalkeeper matchup features Ivan Provedel for Lazio and Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta
Provedel has kept 12 clean sheets this season
Carnesecchi has 10 clean sheets in the current season
影响因素
Lazio is very defensively solid at the Stadio Olimpico, conceding an average of just 0.84 goals per home game
Atalanta is offensively strong on the road with 1.36 goals but is also more vulnerable, conceding 1.18 goals
Recent matches at the Stadio Olimpico have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.6 goals per game