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Coppa Italia

Atalanta - Lazio

04/22/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Atalanta
1.6
Total xG
3.0
Lazio
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
ATALAZ

Atalanta

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.62倍)
+0.39
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.11
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.6球)
全员可用

Lazio

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.08
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
Gustav Isaksen替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Daniel Maldini替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

27%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Atalanta with 41%
  • Atalanta shows strong offensive performance at home with an average of 1.39 goals per game
  • The Gewiss Stadium has a high goal-scoring rate of 3.6 goals per game on average
风险因素
  • Lazio has several sidelined players, including starting goalkeeper I. Provedel
  • Atalanta's goal production has recently stalled (1.2) compared to their season average (1.6) according to Advanced Stats
  • The history shows an even record with 3 draws in 5 direct encounters
概述

Atalanta hosts Lazio at the Gewiss Stadium

Coppa Italia match on April 22, 2026, 9:00 PM

The mathematical analysis sees Atalanta as favorites for the win with 41%

近期状态

Atalanta's form in the last 5 matches is LWWLD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

Their last match ended in a draw

Lazio shows better form with WWDLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

They won their last game

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atalanta scores an average of 1.36 goals and concedes 0.88 goals per game this season

At home, they are stronger with an average of 1.39 goals scored and 0.78 goals conceded

Lazio scores an average of 1.03 goals and concedes 0.91 goals per game

Away from home, they score an average of 1.00 goal and concede 1.00 goal

The Gewiss Stadium averages 3.6 goals per game

In 3 out of 5 matches at the Gewiss Stadium, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Atalanta, 1 win for Lazio, and 3 draws

Atalanta scored 5 goals, while Lazio scored 4 goals

The last encounter on March 4, 2026, ended in a 2:2 draw

The head-to-head record is even

关键球员

For Atalanta, Nikola Krstović is a key player with 10 goals and 4 assists in 29 season appearances

Charles De Ketelaere provided 3 goals and 5 assists in 26 season appearances and shows rising form

Giorgio Scalvini contributed 3 season goals from defense

For Lazio, Matteo Cancellieri is important with 4 goals and 2 assists in 26 season appearances

Kenneth Taylor recorded 3 goals and 2 assists in 14 season appearances and his form is rising

Tijjani Noslin has scored 3 goals in 24 season appearances and also shows rising form

Not nominated are Gustav Isaksen (4 goals/1 assist) and Daniel Maldini (1 goal/1 assist)

门将

Marco Carnesecchi of Atalanta played 33 games this season and kept 12 clean sheets

For Lazio, Edoardo Motta has been in goal for 6 season appearances

Lazio recorded a total of 15 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Atalanta has a home advantage with an average of 1.39 goals scored and 0.78 goals conceded per home game

The Gewiss Stadium provides an environment with an average of 3.6 goals per game

In 3 out of 5 matches there, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals

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