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Coppa Italia

Lazio - Inter

05/13/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Lazio
1.1
Total xG
3.0
Inter
2.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

9%

1:3

6%

0:3

6%
xG 分解
LAZINT

Lazio

防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.10
排名劣势 (第9位 vs 第1位, 相差8位)
-0.10
Matteo Cancellieri替补席 (4球, 2助攻)

Inter

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.48倍)
+1.00
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.09
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第9位, 相差8位)
+0.07
Carlos Augusto替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

19%

平局

24%

客胜

56%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

44%

客胜或平局

81%

非平局

76%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Inter is clearly favored with an away win probability of 56%
  • Inter dominates head-to-head matches with 4 wins in 5 games and a 15:2 goal difference
  • Inter shows a strong offense (Avg. 2.36 goals/game) compared to Lazio's (Avg. 1.08 goals/game)
风险因素
  • I. Provedel is injured for Lazio due to a shoulder injury
  • The Stadio Olimpico shows a tendency for high-scoring matches with an average of 3.6 goals per game
概述

Lazio host Inter at the Stadio Olimpico for a Coppa Italia match on May 13, 2026, 9:00 PM. Inter are considered clear favorites with a predicted away win probability of 56%.

近期状态

Lazio shows mixed form in their last 5 games with WDDWL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Their last match was a 0-3 home defeat against Inter. Inter, on the other hand, is in top form, winning 4 of their last 5 games (WWDWW) with only one draw.

统计数据

Lazio has averaged 1.08 goals per game this season and conceded 1.03 goals. Inter's offense is significantly stronger with 2.36 goals per game and only 0.86 goals conceded. Away from home, Inter averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded. At the Stadio Olimpico, the last 5 games averaged 3.6 total goals, with over 2.5 goals scored in 80% of matches. Lazio recently played counter-oriented with 43% possession and averaged 4.2 shots on target. Inter was possession-dominant with 60% possession and averaged 5.6 shots on target.

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter dominates with 4 wins and one draw. The goal difference is 15:2 in favor of Inter. The last encounter on May 9, 2026, saw Inter win 3-0 away against Lazio. Inter is the currently dominant team in this fixture.

关键球员

For Lazio, Tijjani Noslin recently impressed with 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games (Avg. 7.22 rating) and Toma Bašić with 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games (Avg. 7.06 rating). Mattia Zaccagni provided 1 assist in 3 games (Avg. 7.21 rating). Not nominated for Lazio is Matteo Cancellieri (4 goals, 2 assists this season). Inter can rely on strong performances from Lautaro Martínez (3 goals, 2 assists in 3 games, Avg. 8.00 rating) and Marcus Thuram (3 goals, 1 assist in 5 games, Avg. 7.23 rating). Petar Sučić contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 games (Avg. 7.37 rating). Not nominated for Inter is Carlos Augusto (1 goal, 1 assist this season).

门将

Lazio features Edoardo Motta, who made 9 appearances this season. The team recorded 15 clean sheets. For Inter, Josep Martínez guards the goal in 4 season games, with the team achieving 18 clean sheets.

影响因素

The Stadio Olimpico is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per match and 80% Over 2.5 goals in the last 5 encounters. Lazio scored an average of 1.09 goals at home and conceded 1.04 goals. Inter is very strong offensively away from home with 2.4 goals per game.

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