Bundesliga
St. Pauli - RB Leipzig
01/27/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
3.3
2.2
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
21%
平局
23%
客胜
56%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
74%
Over 3.5
48%
双重机会
主胜或平局
44%
客胜或平局
79%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Offensive Superiority: RB Leipzig's attack (2.0 goals/game) meets St. Pauli's weak defense (1.72 goals conceded/game)
- Quality Gap in the Table: Fifth-placed RB Leipzig faces relegation-threatened seventeenth-placed St. Pauli
- Weak Home Record: St. Pauli has won only one of their last 10 home games on natural grass, favoring Leipzig's away strength
风险因素
- Leipzig's Form: Despite being favorites, Leipzig has lost 3 of their last 5 matches, indicating some inconsistency
- Fatigue: Leipzig has had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could be a factor
- Venue Atmosphere: The Millerntor-Stadion is known for its low goal rate (2.2 goals/game) and could stifle Leipzig's offense
概述
St. Pauli, in 17th place with 13 points, hosts RB Leipzig, 5th with 35 points, at the Millerntor-Stadion
This Bundesliga match takes place on January 27, 2026, at 8:30 PM
It's a classic duel between a relegation candidate and a team fighting for European spots
近期状态
St. Pauli form: WDLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last 5 games, there has been 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
RB Leipzig form: LLWLW
In the last 5 games, there have been 2 wins and 3 losses
Although RB Leipzig has a mixed record, they recently secured a victory, whereas St. Pauli is winless in their last four matches
统计数据
RB Leipzig's offense, averaging 2.0 goals per game, is significantly superior to St. Pauli's 0.89 goals
Defensively, St. Pauli is more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.72 goals, while Leipzig concedes only 1.33
At home, St. Pauli scores an average of 0.89 goals per game and concedes 1.67
RB Leipzig averages 2.0 goals away and concedes 1.86
历史交锋
In the 2 previous direct encounters, RB Leipzig won 1 time, with 1 match ending in a draw
St. Pauli has not yet achieved a victory
The goal difference is 2:0 in favor of RB Leipzig
The last meeting was won by RB Leipzig with a score of 2:0
关键球员
For St. Pauli, Eric Smith with 2 season goals and 2 assists, and Andrêas Hountondji with 4 goals are important offensive players
For RB Leipzig, Christoph Baumgartner with 6 goals and 7 assists, and Rômulo with 6 goals and 4 assists stand out
Defender David Raum has also contributed with 3 goals and 3 assists
门将
St. Pauli's goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has kept 3 clean sheets in 18 season matches
RB Leipzig's Péter Gulácsi has managed 9 clean sheets in 18 appearances
The statistics clearly favor the Leipzig goalkeeper here
影响因素
Statistics at the Millerntor-Stadion show an average of 2.2 goals per game, but only a 20% rate for 'Both teams to score'
St. Pauli's record on natural grass is weak, with only one win from 10 matches (1W-3D-6L)
RB Leipzig has a positive record on this surface with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses