Eredivisie
Ajax - FC Volendam
01/24/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.9
1.1
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
31%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
28%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Ajax's strong home record (1.89 goals per game) meets Volendam's catastrophic away defense (4.0 goals conceded per game)
- Ajax's unbeaten run (WDWDW) contrasts sharply with Volendam's poor form (LLLLW)
- Both teams are weakened by injuries to key attackers (Weghorst/Berghuis for Ajax, Veerman/Descotte for Volendam), which could make the game closer than expected
风险因素
- Ajax's offensive absences could blunt their attack more than expected, giving Volendam a chance to stay in the game
- The last head-to-head match was a surprising 1-1 draw, showing that Volendam can occasionally hold their own
- Ajax's defense is not impenetrable, conceding an average of 1.37 goals per game
概述
Ajax (3rd place, 34 points) hosts FC Volendam (15th place, 17 points) at the Johan Cruijff Arena. The Eredivisie match will take place on January 24, 2026, at 4:30 PM. There is a significant 17-point gap between the two teams in the table, making Ajax the clear favorite.
近期状态
Ajax form: WDWDW
The team is unbeaten in 5 games with 3 wins and 2 draws
FC Volendam form: LLLLW
The visitors have managed only 1 win from their last 5 games, suffering 4 defeats
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Ajax has a strong attack with a season average of 1.95 goals per game, while FC Volendam averages 1.11
Defensively, Ajax concedes an average of 1.37 goals, compared to Volendam's 1.74
The difference in away games is particularly stark: Volendam has scored only 5 goals in 5 matches but conceded 20 (an average of 4.0 per game)
Ajax is much more stable at home, conceding only 9 goals in 9 home games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax dominated with 3 wins, while 2 games ended in a draw
FC Volendam did not win any of these encounters
The goal difference is 12:5 in favor of Ajax
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw
关键球员
Mika Godts is the key player in Ajax's attack with 8 season goals and 7 assists
Oscar Gloukh also contributes significantly with 5 goals and 5 assists
For FC Volendam, Brandley Kuwas stands out with 3 season goals and 2 assists
Defender Mawouna Amevor has also been a goal threat recently, scoring once in his last five games
门将
In goal for Ajax is Vitezslav Jaros, who has kept 4 clean sheets this season
His counterpart, Kayne van Oevelen of FC Volendam, has managed this once so far this season
影响因素
Ajax's home advantage is statistically significant, especially on natural grass, where they have won 5 out of 10 games
FC Volendam has not yet won an away game on natural grass (1 draw, 7 losses)
The Johan Cruijff Arena has an average of 2.6 goals per game, suggesting an entertaining match
Volendam's disastrous away record (5:20 goals in 5 games) is a decisive factor