Eredivisie
FC Twente - Excelsior
01/24/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
2.3
3.6
1.3
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
25%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
78%
Over 3.5
52%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Defensive Mismatch: Excelsior's extremely weak away defense (2.56 goals conceded per game) meets a solid Twente attack
- Difference in Form: Twente is unbeaten in five games (2 wins, 3 draws), while Excelsior has only managed one win in the same period
- Key Absences for Twente: The home team is missing suspended defender Bart van Rooij and forward Sam Lammers, which could impact their defensive and offensive strength
风险因素
- Contradictory Venue Stats: Recent games at De Grolsch Veste have been low-scoring with an average of 2.0 goals, which contradicts the goal forecast for this match
- Excelsior's Improved Attack: According to advanced stats, Excelsior is currently scoring more than their season average, indicating an offensive improvement
- Impact of Twente's Absences: The absence of key players van Rooij and Lammers could disrupt Twente's structure more than anticipated
概述
FC Twente, in 6th place in the table with 29 points, hosts Excelsior, who are in 14th place with 21 points
The Eredivisie match will take place on January 24, 2026, at 9:00 PM at the De Grolsch Veste stadium
FC Twente aims to stay in touch with the European spots, while Excelsior is gathering crucial points against relegation
近期状态
FC Twente: DWDDW - 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
The home team is unbeaten in their last five games
Excelsior: LWLDD - 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses
The visitors' form is inconsistent, with only one win from their last five matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
FC Twente's attack scores an average of 1.53 goals per game, while Excelsior averages 1.05
Defensively, Twente is more stable, conceding an average of 1.16 goals compared to Excelsior's 1.84
Excelsior's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.56 goals per game
For both teams, 12 out of 19 league games have seen both teams score
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, FC Twente has a positive record
FC Twente won 3 matches, Excelsior 1, and 1 match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 11:3 in favor of FC Twente
However, Excelsior won the most recent encounter 1-0
关键球员
Ricky van Wolfswinkel is FC Twente's top scorer with 7 goals this season
Daan Rots is showing rising form and has already scored 5 goals and provided 2 assists this season
Noah Naujoks is the most dangerous player for Excelsior with 6 goals
Irakli Yegoian has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists for Excelsior so far
门将
FC Twente's Lars Unnerstall has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Excelsior's Stijn van Gassel has kept his goal clean in 3 matches and boasts a high average season rating of 7.28
影响因素
Excelsior has a very poor away record on natural grass, with 5 losses in 7 games and a goal difference of 6:20
FC Twente is hard to beat on their home turf, with only one loss in 9 matches
Statistics from recent games at De Grolsch Veste indicate rather low-scoring matches, with an average of 2.0 goals per game