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Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda

02/14/2026, 03:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Heracles Almelo
1.5
Total xG
3.2
NAC Breda
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

6%
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

26%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

74%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • Critical weakening for Heracles: Without top scorer Jizz Hornkamp, only 52% of the season's goal production is available, severely impacting their offense
  • Artificial turf advantage: NAC Breda has lost all their away games on artificial turf this season, while Heracles is accustomed to their home surface
  • Defensive vulnerability meets rising form: Heracles' porous defense (2.59 goals conceded per game) faces a NAC attack that has recently been more clinical than their season average
风险因素
  • Low offensive power for Heracles: The absence of their top striker drastically reduces the home team's goal-scoring threat
  • Catastrophic league form: Heracles has lost their last five league games in a row, which severely affects their confidence
  • Limited data availability: Missing detailed performance data (xG) for some recent matches could affect the tactical assessment
概述

A crucial duel in the Eredivisie relegation battle is ahead

Heracles Almelo (17th place, 17 points) hosts NAC Breda (18th place, 16 points)

The match takes place on February 14, 2026, at 4:30 PM at the Asito Stadion

Both teams are fighting for vital points to escape the relegation zone

近期状态

Heracles Almelo is in poor form with a record of LLLWL from their last five matches (1 win, 4 losses)

NAC Breda is also not in good shape with DLDDL, but they managed 3 draws and 2 losses

In the league, Heracles' form is catastrophic with five consecutive losses (LLLLL)

NAC Breda's league form is LWLLD

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Heracles Almelo has one of the weakest defenses in the league, conceding 57 goals in 22 matches (an average of 2.59 per game)

NAC Breda is also vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game

Offensively, Heracles scores 1.43 goals per game at home, while NAC Breda averages 1.00 goal away

The Asito Stadion sees an average of 3.2 goals per game, suggesting a high-scoring encounter

历史交锋

The record of the last five head-to-head encounters is perfectly balanced

Both teams have won two matches each, with one game ending in a draw

The goal difference is narrowly in favor of Heracles Almelo at 6:5

The last meeting was won by NAC Breda with a score of 2-1

关键球员

For Heracles Almelo, Luka Kulenovic with 5 season goals and 3 assists, and Ajdin Hrustic with 6 assists are key players

For NAC Breda, Charles-Andreas Brym (2 goals, 4 assists) and Moussa Soumano (3 goals) are showing rising form

门将

In goal for Heracles Almelo is Remko Pasveer; the team has kept one clean sheet this season

For NAC Breda, Daniel Bielica is the goalkeeper; his team has managed to keep a clean sheet twice this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf, Heracles Almelo's home surface

NAC Breda has lost all three of their matches on artificial turf this season (0 wins, 3 losses)

Heracles has a mixed home record on this surface (4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses)

This surface advantage could be decisive for Heracles

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