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Eredivisie

SC Heerenveen - PEC Zwolle

02/15/2026, 01:30 PM

4 : 2
预期进球
SC Heerenveen
1.7
Total xG
2.9
PEC Zwolle
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

27%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

73%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Critical absences for Heerenveen: The home team is missing key offensive players, leaving only 34% of their usual goal threat available
  • Zwolle's away weakness: The visitors have one of the most vulnerable away defenses in the league, conceding an average of 2.73 goals per game
  • Contrasting attacking trends: While Heerenveen's goal output has recently declined, Zwolle's attack has significantly improved compared to their season average
风险因素
  • Massively weakened Heerenveen attack: Due to the absences of players like D. Vente, the attacking power is severely reduced
  • Vulnerable home defense: Heerenveen has not kept a single clean sheet at home this season
  • Potential fatigue: Heerenveen has had only 4 days of rest since their last match, while Zwolle had 8 days to recover
概述

SC Heerenveen (10th place, 28 points) host PEC Zwolle (13th place, 26 points) at the Abe Lenstra Stadion

This is an Eredivisie clash on February 15, 2026, at 2:30 PM

Both teams are neighbors in the mid-table, which suggests a close match

The mathematical analysis slightly favors the home team with a 46% win probability

近期状态

SC Heerenveen form (all competitions): DLDLW

In the last 5 games, there has been 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

The league form is DLLDL

PEC Zwolle form (all competitions): DWLWL

The away team has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their last 5 matches

In the league, the form is WWLLL

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Offensively, Heerenveen scores an average of 1.59 goals per game, while Zwolle averages 1.41

Defensively, Zwolle is significantly more vulnerable, conceding 2.05 goals per game, compared to Heerenveen's 1.68

Zwolle's defense is particularly weak away from home, conceding an average of 2.73 goals per game

Heerenveen has not kept a clean sheet at home this season

In 15 of 22 matches for both teams, there were over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, the record is completely balanced with 1 win for each team and 3 draws

The goal difference is also very close at 7:6 in favor of SC Heerenveen

The last meeting was won by PEC Zwolle with a score of 2-1

关键球员

Lasse Nordås has been on target recently with 2 goals in the last 5 games

Maxence Rivera contributed 2 assists in the same period

Joris van Overeem has scored 1 goal and provided 3 assists this season

Koen Kostons is Zwolle's top scorer with 10 goals and 5 assists

Shola Shoretire is in excellent form, having scored 4 times in the last 5 matches

Younes Namli has been directly involved in 3 goals in his last 5 appearances (1 goal, 2 assists)

门将

Bernt Klaverboer is in goal for Heerenveen; his team has kept 2 clean sheets this season

For Zwolle, Tom de Graaff is the goalkeeper; his team has managed to keep a clean sheet 4 times

影响因素

At the Abe Lenstra Stadion, there has been an average of 2.8 goals in the last 5 matches

In 60% of these games, both teams scored

SC Heerenveen is vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per game

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