Eredivisie
NAC Breda - FC Volendam
02/21/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
9%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
30%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Volendam's extreme away weakness: Conceding an average of 3.83 goals per away game, their defense on the road is a massive risk factor
- Form advantage for the visitors: Volendam has won 3 of their last 5 games, even beating the league leaders, while NAC Breda is going through a form crisis
- Statistical favoritism: Despite poorer form, the model favors NAC Breda with a 46% win probability, heavily influenced by Volendam's away record
风险因素
- NAC Breda's lack of home strength: With only one win and one clean sheet in 13 home games, they are not a dominant force at home
- Volendam's upward trend: The recent victory against league leaders PSV shows that Volendam is capable of top performances despite their poor overall statistics
概述
NAC Breda (16th place, 19 points) host FC Volendam (14th place, 24 points) at the Rat Verlegh Stadion
This is an important clash in the Eredivisie relegation battle
The match takes place on February 21, 2026, at 8:00 PM
According to mathematical analysis, the home team has a higher chance of winning at 46%
近期状态
Home form (all competitions): LDDLW
NAC Breda has won only 1 of their last 5 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
They recently secured a 1-0 victory against Heracles Almelo, ending a winless streak
Away form (all competitions): WLDWW
FC Volendam is in strong form with 3 wins from their last 5 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
They are coming off two consecutive wins, including a surprising victory against league leaders PSV
统计数据
Offensively, the teams are nearly level with 1.04 goals/game (NAC) and 1.13 (Volendam)
Defensively, the stats are also very similar with 1.57 goals conceded/game (NAC) and 1.65 (Volendam)
The crucial difference is Volendam's weakness away from home
FC Volendam concedes an average of 3.83 goals per away game
NAC Breda is much more stable with only 1.38 goals conceded per home game
历史交锋
The record of the last 3 head-to-head encounters is perfectly balanced
Each team has won 1 match, with 1 draw
The goal difference is 6:5 in favor of NAC Breda
The last meeting was won by FC Volendam 2-1 in November 2025
关键球员
Boy Kemper, a defender, is an offensive force for NAC Breda with 3 season goals and 2 assists
In his last 5 appearances, he has scored 2 goals
Robin van Cruijsen is in top form for Volendam, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Goalkeeper Kayne van Oevelen has shown strong performances recently, including 11 saves against Ajax
门将
Daniel Bielica is in goal for NAC Breda, whose team has kept 3 clean sheets this season
On the other side is Kayne van Oevelen for FC Volendam, whose team has kept 1 clean sheet so far
Van Oevelen is in outstanding personal form with an average rating of 7.22 in his last 5 games
影响因素
The Rat Verlegh Stadion has recently been a place for goals
In the last 5 home games, there was an average of 3.2 goals per match
FC Volendam has a glaring away weakness, conceding almost 4 goals per game on the road
NAC Breda is defensively more solid at home than away