Eredivisie
Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles
03/01/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
30%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Offensive advantage for Go Ahead Eagles: They score more goals on average (1.54 vs 1.08) and have significantly more shots on target (5.6 vs 3.6)
- Severe away weakness of the visitors: Go Ahead Eagles concede an average of 2.3 goals per away game, which is a massive liability
- Historical dominance: The head-to-head record clearly favors Go Ahead Eagles with 3 wins in the last 5 matches and a 10-4 goal difference
风险因素
- Weakened Go Ahead Eagles offense: Due to the absence of Milan Smit (6 goals, 2 assists), only 68% of their seasonal goal threat is available
- Defensive vulnerability of the visitors: The high number of 2.3 goals conceded per away game makes Go Ahead Eagles extremely vulnerable
概述
A crucial duel in the Eredivisie relegation battle takes place on March 1, 2026, at 8:00 PM
Excelsior (15th place, 26 points) hosts Go Ahead Eagles (14th place, 26 points), who are level on points, at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Both teams are fighting to distance themselves from the relegation zone
近期状态
Both teams have an identical record from their last five matches: 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Excelsior's form: D-D-W-L-L
The home team has lost their last two games
Go Ahead Eagles' form: D-D-L-L-W
The visitors won their last match and arrive with slightly more momentum
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Go Ahead Eagles are more potent offensively, averaging 1.54 goals per game compared to Excelsior's 1.08
Away from home, the visitors' attack is even more effective with 1.6 goals per game
However, Go Ahead Eagles' defense is extremely vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 2.3 goals
Excelsior's defense is much more stable at home, allowing only 1.33 goals
Venue statistics suggest a high-scoring game, with an average of 3.2 goals per match in the last five home games
历史交锋
The recent record clearly favors Go Ahead Eagles
In the last five head-to-head encounters, the visitors won three times, with one draw and one win for Excelsior
The goal difference is 10:4 in favor of Go Ahead Eagles
The last meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for Go Ahead Eagles
关键球员
For Excelsior, all eyes are on Noah Naujoks (7 season goals) and playmakers Gyan de Regt (4 assists) and Irakli Yegoian (4 goals, 2 assists)
For Go Ahead Eagles, Mathis Suray (9 goals) and Melle Meulensteen (5 goals) are the main goal threats
Jakob Breum is a key creative factor for the visitors with 4 assists
门将
In goal for Excelsior is Stijn van Gassel; his team has kept 5 clean sheets this season
His counterpart is Jari De Busser, whose Go Ahead Eagles team has kept a clean sheet 4 times so far
Both goalkeepers are expected to be tested in this important match
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf, Excelsior's home surface
Excelsior's record on this surface is solid (3W-3D-4L), while Go Ahead Eagles struggle more with it (1W-1D-2L)
The home advantage for Excelsior is statistically significant, as they concede far fewer goals at home (1.33) than away (2.08)
In contrast, Go Ahead Eagles' away weakness is glaring, with 2.3 goals conceded per game on their travels