🇳🇱

Eredivisie

FC Twente - Feyenoord

03/01/2026, 01:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
FC Twente
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Feyenoord
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
FTFEY

FC Twente

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.29倍)
-0.68
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.60
状态上升 (2.5 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.22
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.07
主场表现强势 (场均2.2球 vs 总体1.8球)

Feyenoord

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.32
状态下滑 (1 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.32
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.06
Sem Steijn未进首发 (7球, 2助攻)
Quinten Timber未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Leo Sauer未进首发 (3球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

30%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Clash of styles: Feyenoord's high-powered away offense (2.3 goals per game) meets Twente's extremely solid home defense (1.0 goals conceded per game)
  • Diverging offensive trends: Twente's goal production has recently increased (2.5 goals on average lately), while Feyenoord's has dropped to just 1.0 goals per game
  • Mathematical prediction: The model slightly favors FC Twente with a 42% win probability, highlighting the home advantage
风险因素
  • Feyenoord's significant injury problems: The visitors are missing several key players, including important goalscorers Sem Steijn (7 season goals) and Leo Sauer (3 season goals)
  • Historical record: Feyenoord has had the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters with 2 wins and 2 draws to just one loss
概述

FC Twente (6th place, 38 points) hosts Feyenoord (2nd place, 48 points) at De Grolsch Veste

Top Eredivisie clash on March 1, 2026, 2:30 PM

Feyenoord aims to stay close to the top of the table, while Twente is fighting for European spots

The prediction suggests a slight advantage for the home team, with a 42% win probability

近期状态

FC Twente Form: DDWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home team is unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws)

Their last result was a 2-1 victory against FC Groningen

Feyenoord Form: LLWWW

The visitors have won their last 3 games

Feyenoord has 3 wins and 2 losses from their last 5 fixtures

统计数据

Feyenoord boasts one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.29 goals per game

FC Twente is very solid defensively at home, conceding an average of only 1.0 goal per game

The visitors are particularly dangerous on the road (averaging 2.3 goals)

In 16 of Feyenoord's 24 league games, there have been over 2.5 goals, while for Twente this was the case in 10 of 24 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for FC Twente, 2 wins for Feyenoord, and 2 draws

The goal difference favors Feyenoord with 10:6

The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Daan Rots (7 goals, 3 assists) and Kristian Hlynsson (5 goals, 2 assists) are key figures in Twente's attack

Defender Mats Rots has also already scored 4 goals this season

For Feyenoord, Ayase Ueda is the standout striker with 18 goals this season

Anis Hadj Moussa (8 goals, 4 assists) is another key player in the visitors' offense

门将

Lars Unnerstall is in goal for FC Twente and has kept 6 clean sheets this season

His counterpart, Timon Wellenreuther of Feyenoord, has a slightly better record with 8 clean sheets

影响因素

FC Twente is known for its strength at home at De Grolsch Veste, with a solid record of 1.67 goals scored to just 1.0 conceded per home game

However, Feyenoord is one of the strongest away teams in the league with an impressive 2.3 goals per away match

The average number of goals in the last five games at this stadium was 2.4

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。