Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard
02/28/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
2.1
3.1
1.0
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
10%3:1
7%3:0
7%xG 分解
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
60%
平局
23%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
40%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Clear matchup imbalance: NEC's strong home offense (2.5 goals per game) meets Fortuna Sittard's extremely vulnerable away defense (2.5 goals conceded per game)
- Dominance in the standings and on the pitch: As third in the table, NEC controls the game (61% possession), while Fortuna, in eleventh, tends to react
- Strong prediction signal: The mathematical analysis supports the favorite's role with a 61% win probability for NEC Nijmegen
风险因素
- Personnel worries for the visitors: Fortuna Sittard is weakened by several absences, including starting goalkeeper M. Branderhorst and goal-scoring midfielder J. Lonwijk (4 season goals)
- NEC's defensive vulnerability: Despite being favorites, NEC concedes goals regularly; both teams scored in all of their last 5 home games. The probability of both teams scoring is 57%
概述
NEC Nijmegen (3rd place, 43 points) host Fortuna Sittard (11th place, 29 points) at the Goffertstadion
Eredivisie match on February 28, 2026, 9:00 PM
The home team enters the duel as clear favorites and aims to solidify their position among the top teams
近期状态
NEC Nijmegen form (all competitions): WWLDD
In the last 5 games, there have been 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
The last two matches ended in a draw
Fortuna Sittard form (all competitions): WLDLW
The record of the last 5 games is balanced with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
NEC Nijmegen has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.46 goals per game, and even 2.5 at home
Fortuna Sittard scores an average of 1.5 goals per game but concedes a worrying 2.5 goals away from home
For NEC, 20 out of 24 season games have seen both teams score
For Fortuna, this was the case in 18 out of 24 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NEC Nijmegen has dominated with 3 wins to Fortuna Sittard's 1, with 1 draw
The goal difference is also clearly in NEC's favor at 14:6
However, Fortuna Sittard won the most recent encounter 3-2
关键球员
For NEC Nijmegen, Koki Ogawa (8 goals, 3 assists), Tjaronn Chery (6 goals, 5 assists), and Başar Önal (5 goals, 6 assists) are the key offensive players
For Fortuna Sittard, Kaj Sierhuis (9 goals), Mohamed Ihattaren (5 goals, 6 assists), and Lance Duijvestijn (2 goals in 5 appearances) are the crucial players
门将
Gonzalo Crettaz is the main goalkeeper for NEC Nijmegen
On the other side, Luuk Koopmans is in goal for Fortuna Sittard, as the main goalkeeper M. Branderhorst is injured
Both teams have kept 3 clean sheets this season so far
影响因素
The Goffertstadion is a fortress for NEC Nijmegen, where they score an average of 2.5 goals per game
The last 5 home games have been extremely high-scoring, with an average of 4.0 goals per game
In all 5 matches, both teams scored and there were always more than 2.5 goals