Eredivisie
FC Utrecht - AZ
03/01/2026, 03:45 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.8
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
9%2:1
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
FC Utrecht
AZ
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
24%
平局
27%
客胜
48%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
52%
客胜或平局
76%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- AZ's strong attack (1.75 goals/game) meets Utrecht's solid home defense (0.92 goals conceded/game)
- AZ shows a positive form trend, scoring more recently (2.0) than their season average (1.75)
- AZ's defense is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game
风险因素
- AZ has had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- The head-to-head record is very tight, with three of the last five meetings ending in a draw
概述
FC Utrecht (10th place, 31 points) hosts AZ (5th place, 39 points) at Stadion Galgenwaard
Eredivisie match on March 1, 2026, 4:45 PM
AZ is fighting for European spots, while Utrecht is in the mid-table
The mathematical analysis favors AZ with a win probability of 48%
近期状态
FC Utrecht form: D-L-W-W-D (W=Win, D=Draw, L=Loss)
The home team has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games
Utrecht's form is stable
AZ form: D-W-L-W-W
The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 games, with 1 draw and 1 loss
AZ is on a 2-game winning streak and shows a positive trend
统计数据
Offensively, AZ is slightly stronger with an average of 1.75 goals per game compared to Utrecht's 1.5
Defensively, Utrecht is more stable with 1.29 goals conceded per game than AZ with 1.58
Utrecht is particularly strong defensively at home, conceding only 0.92 goals on average
AZ is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, the record was completely balanced with 1 win each and 3 draws
The goal difference from Utrecht's perspective is 7:9
The last meeting was won by AZ with a score of 4:1
关键球员
For FC Utrecht, Souffian El Karouani (2 goals, 10 assists), Gjivai Zechiël (5 goals, 3 assists), and Dani de Wit (4 goals, 2 assists) are key players
For AZ, Sven Mijnans (6 goals, 5 assists), Mexx Meerdink (3 goals, 1 assist), and Mees de Wit (2 goals, 4 assists) are crucial
门将
Vasilios Barkas in goal for FC Utrecht has kept 3 clean sheets this season
AZ's Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro has managed to keep 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
FC Utrecht is defensively very solid at Stadion Galgenwaard, conceding less than one goal per game on average (0.92)
The last five home games have been rather low-scoring with an average of 1.8 goals
Both teams scored in only 2 of the last 5 matches at Stadion Galgenwaard