Eredivisie
Heracles Almelo - PSV
02/28/2026, 05:45 PM
预期进球
1.1
3.3
2.2
1:1
10%1:2
10%0:2
9%1:3
7%0:3
6%xG 分解
Heracles Almelo
PSV
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
18%
平局
22%
客胜
60%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
双重机会
主胜或平局
40%
客胜或平局
82%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Severe personnel issues for Heracles: Only 32% of the seasonal goal threat is available, as key players like Jizz Hornkamp (10 goals) are missing
- A class apart in attack: The league's best offense (PSV, 2.91 goals/game) meets one of the weakest defenses (Heracles, 2.58 goals conceded/game)
- Historical dominance: PSV has won all of the last five head-to-head matches, with a goal difference of 19:5
风险因素
- Key offensive players missing for PSV: With Guus Til (12 goals) and Ricardo Pepi (9 goals) absent, important scorers are out, leaving only 57% of the goal threat available
- Slight downward trend for PSV: The visitors' goal production has recently slightly decreased (2.0 goals in recent games) compared to their season average (2.91)
概述
In a clash of opposites, bottom-of-the-table Heracles Almelo (18th place, 17 points) hosts league leaders PSV (1st place, 62 points)
The Eredivisie match will take place on February 28, 2026, at 6:45 PM at the Asito Stadion
PSV enters the match as clear favorites, looking to extend their lead at the top
近期状态
Heracles Almelo is in a form crisis with a record of just one win and four losses from their last five games (Form: LWLLL), including three consecutive defeats
PSV appears much stronger with three wins and two losses in their last five matches (Form: LWWLW)
The form curve clearly favors the visitors from Eindhoven
统计数据
PSV's attack is by far the strongest in the league, averaging 2.91 goals per game, while Heracles only manages 1.29
A similar picture emerges in defense: Heracles concedes an average of 2.58 goals, whereas PSV concedes only 1.22
PSV is particularly potent away from home (2.82 goals per game), while Heracles is vulnerable at home (1.67 goals conceded per game)
历史交锋
The historical record is unambiguous: PSV has won all of the last five head-to-head encounters against Heracles Almelo
The goal difference of 19:5 in favor of PSV further underscores this dominance
The last meeting in December 2025 also ended in a 4-3 victory for PSV
门将
Remko Pasveer is expected to be in goal for Heracles Almelo, whose team has managed only one clean sheet this season
On the other side, Matej Kovar will guard the goal for PSV, who have already kept six clean sheets this season
The statistical starting position clearly favors the league leaders' goalkeeper
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf, a surface both teams are familiar with
Heracles has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses on this surface
PSV has won 2 of its 3 matches on artificial turf
The last 5 games at the Asito Stadion have been relatively low-scoring, with an average of 2.2 goals