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Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen - FC Volendam

03/08/2026, 07:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
NEC Nijmegen
2.0
Total xG
2.9
FC Volendam
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
NNFV

NEC Nijmegen

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (1.8 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
-0.19
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
+0.09
Eli Dasa未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

FC Volendam

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.4倍)
-0.83
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.13
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.13
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第5位, 相差9位)
-0.08
Brandley Kuwas未进大名单 (5球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

65%

平局

23%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

35%

非平局

77%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Matchup Advantage: NEC's strong home offense (2.46 goals) meets Volendam's very weak away defense (4.0 goals conceded)
  • Historical Dominance: NEC is unbeaten in 5 direct duels against Volendam (4 wins, 1 draw, 18:8 goal difference)
  • Mathematical Prediction: The pipeline analysis indicates a 65% home win probability for NEC Nijmegen
风险因素
  • Volendam's away defense is extremely vulnerable, with an average of 4.0 goals conceded per away game
  • NEC Nijmegen's recent goal production has slowed to 1.8 goals, compared to their season average of 2.4 goals
  • NEC's home form shows some inconsistency with two recent losses (2:3 against Fortuna Sittard, 1:3 against FC Utrecht)
概述

NEC Nijmegen (5th place, 43 points) hosts FC Volendam (14th place, 27 points) at Goffertstadion. This Eredivisie match takes place on March 8, 2026, at 8:00 PM. NEC aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table, while Volendam needs crucial points in the fight against relegation

近期状态

NEC Nijmegen's recent form is WLDDL, which translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). Their last result was a loss. FC Volendam's form is DWWLW, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their last match ended in a win. According to advanced statistics, NEC Nijmegen's goal production has slowed to 1.8 goals, while their season average is 2.4 goals. FC Volendam is currently scoring more frequently with 1.6 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.2 goals

统计数据

NEC Nijmegen averages 2.44 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.72 goals. At home, they average 2.46 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded. FC Volendam averages 1.16 goals scored per game and concedes 1.64 goals. Away from home, Volendam concedes an average of 4.0 goals per game and scores 1.17 goals. At Goffertstadion, the last 5 games averaged 4.2 total goals, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals always occurring

历史交锋

In the 5 direct encounters so far, NEC Nijmegen has dominated with 4 wins and 1 draw. FC Volendam has not won any of these matches. The goal difference is clearly in favor of NEC Nijmegen at 18:8. The last meeting on December 7, 2025, ended in a 3:2 victory for NEC Nijmegen at FC Volendam

关键球员

For NEC Nijmegen, Bryan Linssen (7 goals, 7 assists, average rating 7.02), Tjaronn Chery (7 goals, 5 assists, average rating 7.23), and Başar Önal (5 goals, 6 assists, average rating 6.90) are key players. For FC Volendam, Robin van Cruijsen (4 goals, 3 assists, average rating 6.81), Aurelio Oehlers (4 goals, 1 assist, average rating 6.66), and Dave Kwakman (0 goals, 4 assists, average rating 7.19) stand out

门将

NEC Nijmegen's goalkeeper, Jasper Cillessen, is named for the match. NEC Nijmegen has kept 3 clean sheets this season. For FC Volendam, Kayne van Oevelen is in goal. FC Volendam has achieved 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

NEC Nijmegen benefits from a clear home advantage, with an average of 2.46 home goals scored and 1.54 home goals conceded. Goffertstadion is known for high-scoring encounters, with an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last five matches. In all of these five games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were always scored

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