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Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam - PEC Zwolle

03/08/2026, 11:15 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Sparta Rotterdam
1.5
Total xG
2.6
PEC Zwolle
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
SRPZ

Sparta Rotterdam

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.36
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04

PEC Zwolle

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.51
状态上升 (2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.05
Simon Graves未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

29%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

71%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis sees a home win for Sparta Rotterdam with 46%
  • Guests' defensive weakness: PEC Zwolle concedes a high average of 2.50 goals per away game
  • Guests' offensive strength: PEC Zwolle currently scores more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.4)
风险因素
  • Historical record: PEC Zwolle recently dominated head-to-head matches with 3 wins in 5 games
  • Goalkeeper form: Sparta Rotterdam's goalkeeper Joël Drommel shows declining form (recent rating 6.61)
  • Low goal average at stadium: Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel has a low average of 2.0 goals per game
概述

Sparta Rotterdam (8th place, 37 points) host PEC Zwolle (13th place, 28 points) at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Eredivisie match on March 8, 2026, 12:15 PM

Sparta Rotterdam aims to close the gap to the top half of the table, while PEC Zwolle needs points in the relegation battle

近期状态

Sparta Rotterdam's current form across all competitions is WDDLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This equates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games

Sparta Rotterdam recently lost 1-2 against SC Heerenveen and 1-3 against AZ away

PEC Zwolle's form across all competitions is WLLDD

This equates to 1 win, 2 losses, and 2 draws in their last 5 games

PEC Zwolle recently drew 0-0 against Ajax and 1-1 against FC Utrecht

统计数据

Sparta Rotterdam scores an average of 1.28 goals per game and concedes 1.68 goals

At home, these values are 1.27 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded

PEC Zwolle scores an average of 1.36 goals and concedes 2.00 goals per game

Away from home, they score 1.36 goals and concede a high 2.50 goals per match

Sparta Rotterdam kept a clean sheet in 9 games, PEC Zwolle in 5 matches

Both teams scored in 11 of Sparta Rotterdam's games and 17 of PEC Zwolle's games

At Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, an average of 2.0 goals per game are scored

In 1 of 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 1 of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams, Sparta Rotterdam secured 1 win

PEC Zwolle won 3 matches, and 1 game ended in a draw

The goal difference is 3:6 in favor of PEC Zwolle

The last encounter on November 8, 2025, ended with a 0-1 defeat for Sparta Rotterdam against PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle has been more dominant in recent meetings

关键球员

For Sparta Rotterdam, key players include Tobias Lauritsen (10 season goals, 3 assists) whose form is declining

Shunsuke Mito (5 season goals, 3 assists) shows a rising form trend

Joshua Kitolano (5 season goals, 2 assists) has a declining form

For PEC Zwolle, Koen Kostons (10 season goals, 6 assists) shows rising form

Shola Shoretire (5 season goals, 1 assist) has stable form

Younes Namli (2 season goals, 3 assists) shows a declining form trend

门将

Joël Drommel is the goalkeeper for Sparta Rotterdam and kept 9 clean sheets this season

His form is declining (recent average rating 6.61)

Tom de Graaff is the goalkeeper for PEC Zwolle and achieved 5 clean sheets

His form is rising (recent average rating 7.78)

影响因素

Sparta Rotterdam has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses (9:7 goals) on artificial turf

PEC Zwolle has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses (17:17 goals) on artificial turf

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel is known for an average of 2.0 goals per game

In only 20% of games at the stadium do both teams score or are over 2.5 goals scored

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