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Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo - FC Utrecht

03/06/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Heracles Almelo
1.3
Total xG
2.8
FC Utrecht
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
HAFU

Heracles Almelo

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.14
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第8位, 相差10位)
-0.14
Luka Kulenovic未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Walid Ould-Chikh未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Djevencio van der Kust未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.3球)

FC Utrecht

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.09
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第18位, 相差10位)
+0.07
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.03
V. Jensen未进首发 (5球, 0助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

28%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Utrecht's Favorite Role: The mathematical analysis sees FC Utrecht as favorites with a 41% win probability
  • Squad Impact on Heracles: Heracles Almelo is missing key players, impacting 29% of their usual starting XI's goal threat
  • Form and Statistics: FC Utrecht shows positive form and currently scores more frequently (1.6) than their season average (1.3)
风险因素
  • Heracles' Defensive Vulnerability: Heracles Almelo concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game
  • Limited Offensive Threat from Heracles: Heracles Almelo averages only 3.4 shots on target per game
  • High Probability for Both Teams to Score: The mathematical analysis indicates a 57% probability that both teams will score
概述

Heracles Almelo (18th place, 17 points) host FC Utrecht (8th place, 34 points) at Asito Stadion

Eredivisie match on March 6, 2026, 8:00 PM

Heracles is in a relegation battle, while Utrecht is fighting for higher league positions

近期状态

Heracles Almelo shows a form of WLLLL

This corresponds to 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 games

The team currently has 4 consecutive losses

FC Utrecht displays a form of LWWDW

This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches

Utrecht won their last game

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Heracles Almelo scores an average of 1.28 goals and concedes 2.6 goals per game this season

At home, they average 1.31 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded

FC Utrecht averages 1.52 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per game this season

Away from home, their average is 1.55 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded

The Asito Stadion sees an average of 2.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles Almelo has not won any

FC Utrecht won 4 of these encounters, with 1 game ending in a draw

The goal difference is 2:10 in favor of FC Utrecht

FC Utrecht won the last meeting on August 10, 2025, with a score of 4:0

关键球员

For Heracles Almelo, Ajdin Hrustic (Midfielder, 1 goal, 6 assists, 6.97 rating), Damon Mirani (Defender, 3 goals, 0 assists, 6.68 rating), and Alec Van Hoorenbeeck (Defender, 2 goals, 0 assists, 6.68 rating) are important players

For FC Utrecht, Souffian El Karouani (Defender, 2 goals, 10 assists, 7.45 rating), Gjivai Zechiël (Midfielder, 5 goals, 3 assists, 7.04 rating), and Vasilios Barkas (Goalkeeper, 0 goals, 0 assists, 7.03 rating) are key players

门将

Remko Pasveer was in goal for Heracles Almelo in recent matches

Heracles Almelo recorded 1 clean sheet this season

Vasilios Barkas is the goalkeeper for FC Utrecht

FC Utrecht kept 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match takes place at Asito Stadion on artificial turf

Heracles Almelo has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses (18:18 goals) on artificial turf

FC Utrecht's record on artificial turf is 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses (5:5 goals)

Heracles Almelo's home strength is reflected in 1.31 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded per home game

FC Utrecht's away record shows 1.55 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded per away game

The stadium averages 2.6 goals per game

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