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Eredivisie

Excelsior - SC Heerenveen

03/07/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Excelsior
1.1
Total xG
2.6
SC Heerenveen
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
EXCSH

Excelsior

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.90
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
-0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.04
Arthur Zagré未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

SC Heerenveen

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.10
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第15位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Marcus Linday未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

28%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

72%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Prediction: SC Heerenveen is favored with a win probability of 47%
  • Form advantage: SC Heerenveen shows better recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 games compared to Excelsior (1 win)
  • Offensive strength: SC Heerenveen currently scores more often (2.0 goals) than Excelsior (1.2 goals)
风险因素
  • Excelsior defense: Excelsior concedes an average of 1.42 goals per home game
  • SC Heerenveen defense: SC Heerenveen concedes an average of 1.91 goals per away game
  • Even head-to-head record: Direct encounters show a balanced power dynamic between the teams
概述

Excelsior (15th place, 26 points) hosts SC Heerenveen (9th place, 34 points) at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. This Eredivisie match takes place on March 7, 2026, 9:00 PM. Excelsior is fighting for survival, while Heerenveen aims to establish itself in the upper half of the table.

近期状态

Excelsior has shown a form of DWLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five games, with a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their last match was a 0-1 defeat against Go Ahead Eagles. SC Heerenveen has a form of LWWLW in their last five games, with 3 wins and 2 losses. They won their last match 2-1 against Sparta Rotterdam.

统计数据

Excelsior scores an average of 1.04 goals per game and concedes 1.68 goals. At home, they score 1.08 goals and concede 1.42 goals. Both teams scored in 15 matches, and 15 matches had over 2.5 goals. SC Heerenveen shows stronger offense with an average of 1.68 goals per game, but concedes 1.72 goals. Away from home, they score 1.64 goals and concede 1.91 goals. Both teams scored in 18 matches, and 18 matches had over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In the 5 previous head-to-head matches, the record between Excelsior and SC Heerenveen is even. Both teams have secured 2 wins, while 1 match ended in a draw. Excelsior scored a total of 7 goals, SC Heerenveen 3 goals. The last encounter on October 4, 2025, ended in a 2-1 victory for SC Heerenveen.

关键球员

For Excelsior, Noah Naujoks is the top scorer with 7 goals. Gyan de Regt showed strong form with 3 assists in the last 5 games, but has only scored 2 goals throughout the season. Irakli Yegoian contributed 1 goal in the last 5 games. For SC Heerenveen, Jacob Trenskow stands out with 9 season goals and scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches. Lasse Nordås has 4 season goals and also scored 2 goals in the last 5 games. Maxence Rivera was involved in 2 assists in the last 5 games. Not nominated: Arthur Zagré (Excelsior) with 2 goals and Marcus Linday (SC Heerenveen) with 2 assists.

门将

For Excelsior, Stijn van Gassel is in goal, with 5 clean sheets in 23 season appearances. On SC Heerenveen's side, Bernt Klaverboer guards the goal, achieving 2 clean sheets in 20 season appearances.

影响因素

The Van Donge & De Roo Stadion has seen an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games. Excelsior has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses on artificial turf with a goal difference of 12:14. SC Heerenveen shows a positive record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss on artificial turf with 10:4 goals.

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