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Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard - Telstar

03/08/2026, 01:30 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Fortuna Sittard
1.8
Total xG
3.2
Telstar
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
FSTEL

Fortuna Sittard

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
排名优势 (第11位 vs 第17位, 相差6位)
+0.05
10%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)

Telstar

排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第11位, 相差6位)
-0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
Nils Rossen未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

25%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

75%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis forecast: Fortuna Sittard has a home win probability of 47%
  • Fortuna Sittard's home strength: an average of 1.62 home goals against Telstar's away defensive deficits (2.12 goals conceded)
  • High-scoring home record: In Fortuna Sittard's last five home games, an average of 4.2 goals were scored, and there were always over 2.5 goals and BTTS
风险因素
  • Injury-related absences for Fortuna Sittard: J. Lonwijk, M. Branderhorst, D. Sinkgraven, R. Bayram
  • Missing key player for Telstar: Nils Rossen (3 goals, 1 assist) is not in the lineup
  • High probability for both teams to score (64%) and over 2.5 goals (63%) according to the model
概述

Fortuna Sittard (11th place, 32 points) host Telstar (17th place, 21 points) at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Eredivisie match on March 8, 2026, 2:30 PM. Fortuna Sittard is fighting in the mid-table, while Telstar is battling to stay in the league

近期状态

Fortuna Sittard shows a form of "LDLWW" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in the last five games. They recorded two wins and one draw. Fortuna Sittard recently achieved two consecutive wins. Telstar has a form of "LDDLW" and registered one win and two draws during this period. Telstar's last appearance also ended in a win

统计数据

Fortuna Sittard scored an average of 1.56 goals per game this season and conceded 1.8 goals. At home, they average 1.62 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded. Telstar scored an average of 1.24 times and conceded 1.64 goals per game. Away from home, Telstar conceded an average of 2.12 goals. In Fortuna Sittard's home games, an average of 4.2 goals were scored in the last five matches, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals falling in all five games. Across the entire season, both teams scored in 19 of Fortuna Sittard's games, and in 16 of Telstar's games

历史交锋

The two teams have met in one direct encounter so far. Fortuna Sittard won this single match. The last game took place on September 14, 2025, where Fortuna Sittard defeated Telstar away with a score of 3:1. The goal difference from this duel is 3:1 in favor of Fortuna Sittard

关键球员

For Fortuna Sittard, Mohamed Ihattaren stands out with 6 goals and 8 assists, although his form is slightly declining (Form-Trend: declining). Kaj Sierhuis is the top scorer with 9 goals and his form is stable (Form-Trend: stable). Ivo Pinto provided 5 assists and shows a rising form trend (Form-Trend: rising). For Telstar, Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp is an important offensive player with 7 goals and 1 assist, but with declining form (Form-Trend: declining). Jeff Hardeveld contributed 4 goals and 5 assists, also with declining form (Form-Trend: declining). Tyrese Noslin recorded 1 goal and 2 assists and shows a rising form trend (Form-Trend: rising)

门将

Luuk Koopmans was in goal for Fortuna Sittard in 4 games. Fortuna Sittard achieved 3 clean sheets this season. Ronald Koeman Jr. made 24 appearances for Telstar. Telstar recorded 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Fortuna Sittard plays at their home stadium, where they score an average of 1.62 goals and concede 1.38 goals. The away team, Telstar, concedes an average of 2.12 goals away from home. The last five games at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion were high-scoring, with an average of 4.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals falling in all matches

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