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Eredivisie

FC Twente - FC Utrecht

03/15/2026, 11:15 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
FC Twente
2.1
Total xG
3.0
FC Utrecht
0.9
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
FTFU

FC Twente

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.66
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
+0.47
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.28
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.28
Sondre Ørjasæter替补席 (1球, 5助攻)

FC Utrecht

状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
V. Jensen未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

63%

平局

22%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

37%

非平局

78%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: FC Twente has a home win probability of 63% and significantly more predicted goals (2.11 to 0.93)
  • Home Form and Offense: FC Twente won 4 of their last 5 games and increased their offensive output to 2.8 goals per game
  • Statistical Matchup: FC Twente concedes only 0.92 goals at home, while FC Utrecht allows 1.58 goals per away game
风险因素
  • FC Utrecht has been the more dominant team in recent direct encounters
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a draw probability of 22%
概述

FC Twente (5th place, 44 points) host FC Utrecht (9th place, 35 points) at De Grolsch Veste

Eredivisie match on March 15, 2026, 12:15 PM

FC Twente aims to consolidate its position in the upper third of the table

FC Utrecht attempts to close the gap to the European places

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

FC Twente shows strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 games (WDWWW)

They recently achieved 3 consecutive wins

FC Utrecht recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches (WWDWD)

The last match ended in a draw

统计数据

FC Twente has scored an average of 1.73 goals per game this season and conceded 1.04 goals

At home, they average 1.69 goals scored and concede 0.92 goals

FC Twente currently scores more frequently (2.8) than their season average (1.9) with a positive form trend

FC Twente appears balanced with 53% possession and 7.6 shots on target, indicating strong offense

FC Utrecht averages 1.46 goals and 1.19 goals conceded per match

Away, they scored 1.42 goals and conceded 1.58 goals

FC Utrecht currently scores more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.5) with a positive form trend

FC Utrecht is counter-oriented with 45% possession and 4.2 shots on target, which is average

At De Grolsch Veste, an average of 2.4 goals were scored in the last 5 games

In 40% of the matches, both teams scored, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for FC Twente, 2 wins for FC Utrecht, and 2 draws

The goal difference is balanced with 5:5 goals

The last encounter on December 7, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

FC Utrecht has been the more dominant team in recent direct encounters

关键球员

For FC Twente, Daan Rots (Attacker) is a key player with 7 goals and 3 assists at an average rating of 7.03 and rising form

Kristian Hlynsson (Midfielder) has 7 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 7.04 and stable form

Sam Lammers (Attacker) recorded 5 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.07 and rising form

For FC Utrecht, Souffian El Karouani (Defender) is a key player with 2 goals and 10 assists at an average rating of 7.48 and declining form

Gjivai Zechiël (Midfielder) contributed 5 goals and 3 assists and shows a rising form with a rating of 7.04

Ángel Alarcón (Attacker) scored 2 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.12 and declining form

门将

Lars Unnerstall of FC Twente (average rating 6.73 in 25 appearances) recorded 7 clean sheets this season

Vasilios Barkas of FC Utrecht (average rating 7.00 in 25 appearances) kept his goal clean 5 times

影响因素

FC Twente has scored 22 goals and conceded 12 goals at home, indicating a home advantage

De Grolsch Veste is known for an average of 2.4 goals per game, a 40% rate for both teams to score, and a 40% rate for over 2.5 goals

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