Eredivisie
PSV - NEC Nijmegen
03/14/2026, 05:45 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.9
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
PSV
NEC Nijmegen
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
27%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- PSV's clear dominance in the league with 68 points and a home offense of Avg. 2.93 goals per game, corresponding to a home win probability of 43%.
- PSV's significantly better current form with 4 wins in the last 5 games, including a streak of 3 wins.
- PSV's historical superiority in head-to-head matches with 3 wins and a goal difference of 15:9 in the last 5 encounters.
风险因素
- NEC Nijmegen concedes an average of 1.92 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
- Both teams show a negative trend in goal production according to Advanced Stats; PSV's goals are stagnant at 2.2 instead of 2.7, NEC Nijmegen's at 1.6 instead of 2.5.
概述
PSV (1st place, 68 points) host NEC Nijmegen (3rd place, 46 points) at the Philips Stadion. Eredivisie match on March 14, 2026, 6:45 PM. PSV aims to extend their lead at the top of the table, while NEC Nijmegen seeks to defend their position in the upper half.
近期状态
PSV's current form is WLWWW across all competitions. This equates to 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. The team is on a winning streak of 3 consecutive games.
NEC Nijmegen's form is LDDLW, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games.
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
PSV averages 2.88 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded per game this season. At home, their offense is particularly strong, averaging 2.93 goals scored, while their defense concedes 1.29 goals. PSV has kept 6 clean sheets, both teams scored in 19 games, and 22 games ended with over 2.5 goals.
NEC Nijmegen averages 2.46 goals scored and 1.65 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they score 2.42 goals and concede an average of 1.92 goals. NEC Nijmegen has 4 clean sheets, both teams scored in 21 games, and 21 games ended with over 2.5 goals.
The Philips Stadion sees an average of 3.4 total goals per game. In 4 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and all 5 games had over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, PSV leads with 3 wins compared to NEC Nijmegen's 1 win, with 1 draw. PSV scored 15 goals, while NEC Nijmegen scored 9 goals. The last encounter was won by PSV with a 5:3 score on September 13, 2025. PSV has been dominant in recent matchups.
关键球员
For PSV: Ismael Saibari (12 goals, 5 assists) shows a stable form trend. Ricardo Pepi (10 goals, 1 assist) also maintains stable form. Dennis Man (6 goals, 6 assists) shows stable form in his recent appearances.
For NEC Nijmegen: Bryan Linssen (7 goals, 7 assists) shows a declining form trend. Tjaronn Chery (7 goals, 6 assists) also exhibits declining form. Başar Önal (6 goals, 6 assists) is also on a declining form trend.
门将
PSV's goalkeeper Matej Kovar has achieved 6 clean sheets this season and shows a rising form trend. NEC Nijmegen's goalkeeper Jasper Cillessen has achieved 0 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
PSV demonstrates a strong home offense with an average of 2.93 goals and a stable defense conceding 1.29 goals per game. The Philips Stadion is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game and 100% of matches seeing over 2.5 goals in the last 5 games. The playing surface is grass.