Sparta Rotterdam (9th place, 38 points) hosts FC Volendam (14th place, 27 points) at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel. This Eredivisie match takes place on March 21, 2026, 6:45 PM. Sparta Rotterdam aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table, while FC Volendam needs crucial points in the relegation battle. The mathematical analysis identifies Sparta Rotterdam as favorites with a 50% win probability.

Sparta Rotterdam's last five games show a form of DLLDL, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their last result was a loss. Their goal production is currently stagnating at an average of 0.8 goals, compared to a season average of 1.2 goals per game. FC Volendam displays a form of WLWLL in their last five matches, with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses. The team suffered two consecutive losses recently. FC Volendam consistently scores around 1.2 goals per game.

Sparta Rotterdam has scored an average of 1.22 goals and conceded 1.74 goals per game over the season. They kept 9 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 12 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 14 games. In home matches, Sparta Rotterdam scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 1.67 goals. FC Volendam scored an average of 1.11 goals and conceded 1.70 goals per game. They kept only 1 clean sheet, both teams scored in 17 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 18 games. Away from home, FC Volendam concedes an average of 4.50 goals per game. At Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, an average of 2.2 total goals were scored per game. Both teams scored in 40% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 20% of games.

In 5 previous head-to-head encounters, Sparta Rotterdam secured 4 wins, while FC Volendam won 1 match, with no draws. Sparta Rotterdam outperformed FC Volendam in goal difference with 11:3. Sparta Rotterdam won the last meeting 1:0 on December 21, 2025. Sparta Rotterdam has been dominant in recent matchups.

For Sparta Rotterdam, Tobias Lauritsen (10 goals, 3 assists) and Shunsuke Mito (5 goals, 3 assists) are crucial for the offense, both with a slightly declining form trend. Mitchell van Bergen (3 goals, 2 assists) is another important attacker with decreasing form. Joshua Kitolano (5 goals, 2 assists) and Pelle Clement (2 goals, 3 assists) are not nominated, leaving 70% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available. For FC Volendam, Brandley Kuwas (5 goals, 3 assists) is a key player in rising form. Ozan Kökcü (1 goal, 2 assists) and Yannick Leliendal (1 goal, 1 assist) also show a positive form trend. Robin van Cruijsen (4 goals, 3 assists) and Dave Kwakman (0 goals, 4 assists) are not nominated, leaving 75% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available.

Sparta Rotterdam's goalkeeper, Joël Drommel, kept 9 clean sheets this season. For FC Volendam, goalkeeper Kayne van Oevelen has managed 1 clean sheet in the current season.

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel averages 2.2 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 20%. The match will be played on artificial turf. Sparta Rotterdam's record on this surface is 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with a goal difference of 9:8. FC Volendam's record on artificial turf is 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with a goal difference of 16:14.