Eredivisie
Heracles Almelo - Excelsior
03/20/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Heracles Almelo
Excelsior
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
28%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: Heracles has a 44% home win probability, making them slight favourites
- Form crisis: Both teams are in a deep form crisis, Excelsior with 5 consecutive losses
- Relegation battle: As last place and 15th, this match in the relegation battle is crucial for both
风险因素
- Heracles Almelo has an average of only 2.6 shots on target per game
- Excelsior concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game
概述
Heracles Almelo (18th place, 18 points) host Excelsior (15th place, 26 points) at Asito Stadion. The Eredivisie match will take place on March 20, 2026, 8:00 PM. It is a direct duel in the relegation battle, with both teams urgently needing points.
近期状态
Heracles Almelo shows poor form in their last five matches with 4 losses and 1 draw (LLLDL). Excelsior has lost all of their last 5 games (LLLLL). W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss. Heracles lost 0-4 away against AZ and drew 0-0 at home against FC Utrecht. Excelsior lost 1-2 away against Feyenoord and 1-2 at home against SC Heerenveen.
统计数据
Heracles Almelo scores an average of 1.19 goals and concedes 2.56 goals per game this season. Excelsior scores an average of 1.04 goals and concedes 1.70 goals. Heracles kept 2 clean sheets in 27 games, Excelsior kept 5 clean sheets in 27 games. Both teams scored in 14 of Heracles' matches and in 17 of Excelsior's matches. At Asito Stadion, an average of 2.0 goals were scored per game, and both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games. Heracles Almelo's current goal production (0.3) is lower than their season average (1.2). Excelsior's goal production (0.8) is also lower than their season average (1.1).
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles Almelo leads with 3 wins compared to 2 wins for Excelsior. Heracles scored a total of 12 goals, while Excelsior scored 11 goals. Heracles Almelo won the last encounter on November 8, 2025, with a 2-1 away victory against Excelsior. Heracles Almelo also won their last home game on September 2, 2023, by 3-1.
关键球员
For Heracles Almelo, Ajdin Hrustic (1 goal, 6 assists, avg 6.96), Damon Mirani (3 goals, avg 6.70), and Lequincio Zeefuik (2 goals, avg 6.69) are key players. Naci Ünüvar (0 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.68) and Alec Van Hoorenbeeck (2 goals, avg 6.73) are also noteworthy. Not nominated for Heracles are Luka Kulenovic (5G/3A) and Djevencio van der Kust (0G/2A). For Excelsior, Noah Naujoks (8 goals, avg 6.86), Irakli Yegoian (4 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.01), and Gyan de Regt (2 goals, 4 assists, avg 6.79) are crucial. Arthur Zagré (3 goals, avg 6.72) and Ilias Bronkhorst (2 goals, avg 6.83) are also to be considered. Rick Meissen (0G/2A) is not nominated for Excelsior.
门将
Remko Pasveer of Heracles Almelo played 7 season matches and achieved 2 clean sheets. Stijn van Gassel of Excelsior played in 25 matches and recorded 5 clean sheets. Pasveer's form has recently declined, while van Gassel had no appearances in the last 5 games.
影响因素
Heracles Almelo scores an average of 1.17 goals at home and concedes 1.56 goals. Excelsior concedes an average of 2.08 goals away and scores 1.08 goals. The artificial turf at Asito Stadion is not unfamiliar territory for either team. Heracles has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses (10:16 goals) on artificial turf. Excelsior recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses (12:16 goals) on this surface. An average of 2.0 goals per game are scored at Asito Stadion.