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Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle - NAC Breda

03/21/2026, 08:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
PEC Zwolle
1.5
Total xG
2.6
NAC Breda
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
PZNB

PEC Zwolle

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.30
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
Shola Shoretire未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Simon Graves未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)

NAC Breda

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.58
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.43
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.02
Lewis Holtby替补席 (1球, 5助攻)
Kamal Sowah替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

29%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

71%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 47% for PEC Zwolle
  • PEC Zwolle is unbeaten in four games (four draws), while NAC Breda recently suffered a heavy 0:6 defeat
  • PEC Zwolle's solid home performance (1.33 goals scored, 1.33 goals conceded per home game) meets NAC Breda's overall weak season performance
风险因素
  • NAC Breda averages only 3.0 shots on target per game
  • NAC Breda concedes an average of 2.70 goals per away game
概述

PEC Zwolle (13th place, 30 points) host NAC Breda (17th place, 23 points) at MAC³PARK Stadion. The Eredivisie match on March 21, 2026, 9:00 PM. Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the battle for survival

近期状态

PEC Zwolle's league form is LDDDD, including 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss from their last five matches. The team has drawn four consecutive games. NAC Breda, on the other hand, shows a form of WWLDL, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their last five games. Their last result was a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

PEC Zwolle scored an average of 1.33 goals per game this season and conceded 1.93 goals. At home, they scored 1.33 goals and conceded 1.33 goals per game. NAC Breda scored an average of 1.04 times and conceded 1.78 goals. Their away record is weaker with 1.00 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded. At MAC³PARK Stadion, an average of 2.8 goals per game have been scored recently, and both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head matches, there have been 5 encounters. Both teams secured one win each, while three matches ended in a draw. The goal difference is 6:5 in favour of PEC Zwolle. The last meeting on October 18, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw

关键球员

For PEC Zwolle, Koen Kostons with 11 season goals and 6 assists, and Younes Namli with 2 goals and 4 assists, are key players. Thijs Oosting also contributes to the offense with 4 goals and 1 assist. Not nominated are Shola Shoretire (5 goals, 1 assist) and Simon Graves (0 goals, 2 assists). For NAC Breda, Boy Kemper stands out with 3 goals and 3 assists, followed by Charles-Andreas Brym with 2 goals and 4 assists. Clint Leemans scored 1 goal this season and one goal in the last 5 games. Not nominated are Lewis Holtby (1 goal, 5 assists) and Kamal Sowah (1 goal, 1 assist)

门将

Tom de Graaff of PEC Zwolle recorded 5 clean sheets this season. Daniel Bielica of NAC Breda achieved 4 clean sheets

影响因素

MAC³PARK Stadion has an artificial turf surface. PEC Zwolle has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with 15:9 goals on artificial turf. NAC Breda, however, won 1 game, drew 0, and lost 4 with a goal difference of 2:7 on artificial turf. The stadium has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game, and both teams scored in 80% of matches

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