Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard - FC Twente
03/21/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
3.7
2.5
1:2
9%1:3
8%0:3
7%2:2
5%1:4
5%xG 分解
Fortuna Sittard
FC Twente
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
14%
平局
19%
客胜
66%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
50%
Under 3.5
50%
双重机会
主胜或平局
34%
客胜或平局
86%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Critical Squad Impact: Fortuna Sittard's starting eleven has 0% of its usual goal threat without key players like Mohamed Ihattaren (6G/10A) and Kaj Sierhuis (10G/0A)
- Critical Squad Impact: FC Twente's starting eleven also has only 0% of its usual goal threat, as Daan Rots (7G/3A) and Kristian Hlynsson (7G/3A) are missing
- Form and H2H Dominance: FC Twente is predicted to win with 66% probability and has dominated direct encounters with 4 wins out of 5 matches
风险因素
- Limited Data Availability for Duels: Data for 'Total Duels' in the last 5 matches for both teams is unavailable
- Key Absence for FC Twente: T. van den Belt (3 season goals, 1 assist) is missing due to a yellow card suspension
概述
Fortuna Sittard (11th place, 35 points) hosts FC Twente (5th place, 44 points) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Eredivisie match on March 21, 2026, 4:30 PM
FC Twente aims for European qualification, while Fortuna Sittard is positioned in the mid-table
The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for FC Twente with a 66% probability
近期状态
Fortuna Sittard's form in the last five matches is LWWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 losses
In their last game, Fortuna Sittard secured a 2-1 away win against FC Volendam
FC Twente's form in their last five matches is DWWWL
This means 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
FC Twente recently lost 0-2 at home against FC Utrecht
统计数据
Fortuna Sittard averages 1.56 goals per game and concedes 1.85 goals per game this season
At home, these values are 1.57 goals scored and 1.57 goals conceded
Fortuna Sittard is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than its season average (1.6)
FC Twente averages 1.67 goals per game and boasts a strong defense with only 1.07 goals conceded
Away, FC Twente's stats are similar: 1.64 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded
FC Twente scores consistently (~1.8 goals per game)
Fortuna Sittard recorded 21 both teams to score (BTTS) games and 19 over 2.5 goals games this season
FC Twente has 16 BTTS games and 11 over 2.5 goals games
The pipeline analysis calculates a 64% probability for BTTS and a 71% probability for over 2.5 goals
The Fortuna Sittard Stadion has seen an average of 4.4 goals per game in the last five matches, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals occurring in all 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters so far, FC Twente dominated with 4 wins
Fortuna Sittard has not won any of the direct duels, with one match ending in a draw
The goal difference in these matches is 4:11 from Fortuna Sittard's perspective
The last meeting on September 26, 2025, ended with a 3-2 away win for FC Twente
关键球员
For Fortuna Sittard, Dimitrios Limnios, with an average rating of 7.11 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, as well as Paul Gladon with 3 goals and 1 assist and Philip Brittijn with 2 goals and 1 assist at the home stadium, are important players
For FC Twente, goalkeeper Lars Unnerstall, with a season average rating of 6.76, is a key figure
门将
Fortuna Sittard is expected to start with Luuk Koopmans in goal, who has achieved an average rating of 6.66 in 6 season appearances
Fortuna Sittard's team recorded 3 clean sheets this season
FC Twente's goalkeeper, Lars Unnerstall, has an average rating of 6.76 in 26 season appearances
FC Twente kept 7 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The Fortuna Sittard Stadion is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 4.4 goals per game in the last five matches
In these games, over 2.5 goals were always scored and both teams always found the net
Fortuna Sittard scores an average of 1.57 goals at home but also concedes 1.57 goals
FC Twente shows a solid offense away from home with 1.64 goals per game and a stable defense with 1.07 goals conceded