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Eredivisie

NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam

04/05/2026, 02:45 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
NAC Breda
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Sparta Rotterdam
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
NBSR

NAC Breda

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.55
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
-0.10
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.04
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.02
Lewis Holtby替补席 (1球, 5助攻)
Kamal Sowah替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.1球)

Sparta Rotterdam

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.53
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第10位 vs 第17位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Pelle Clement替补席 (2球, 3助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

31%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

69%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The model projects a 40% home win probability for NAC Breda
  • League Position: Sparta Rotterdam is significantly higher in the league table at 10th place compared to NAC Breda's 17th place
  • High-Scoring Venue: The Rat Verlegh Stadion averages 4.0 goals per game
风险因素
  • Limited Offense: NAC Breda averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Away Defensive Weakness: Sparta Rotterdam concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game
  • Player Absences for NAC Breda: M. Soumano (Ankle Injury) and L. Greiml (Red Card Suspension) are out
概述

NAC Breda (17th place, 23 points) host Sparta Rotterdam (10th place, 41 points) at the Rat Verlegh Stadion. The Eredivisie match takes place on April 5, 2026, 4:45 PM. NAC Breda is battling against relegation, while Sparta Rotterdam is positioned in the mid-table.

近期状态

NAC Breda recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches across all competitions (WLDLL). Recent results include a 1-2 loss against PEC Zwolle and a 0-6 loss against Go Ahead Eagles. Sparta Rotterdam shows the same record with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses (LLDLW). Sparta Rotterdam won their last match 2-0 against FC Volendam. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

NAC Breda averages 1.06 home goals scored and 1.24 home goals conceded per game. Sparta Rotterdam averages 1.29 away goals scored and 1.93 away goals conceded per game. NAC Breda kept 2 clean sheets at home, while Sparta Rotterdam achieved 5 clean sheets away. The Rat Verlegh Stadion has seen an average of 4.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games.

历史交锋

In the 3 previous head-to-head encounters, both NAC Breda and Sparta Rotterdam secured 1 win each, with 1 draw. Overall, NAC Breda scored 3 goals, and Sparta Rotterdam scored 2 goals. The last meeting on December 7, 2025, saw Sparta Rotterdam win 1-0 against NAC Breda.

关键球员

For NAC Breda, Mohamed Nassoh (4 goals, 1 assist, AvgRating 6.87) with stable form and Boy Kemper (3 goals, 3 assists, AvgRating 6.92) are key players. Charles-Andreas Brym (2 goals, 4 assists, AvgRating 6.84) shows declining form. For Sparta Rotterdam, Tobias Lauritsen (11 goals, 3 assists, AvgRating 7.31), Shunsuke Mito (6 goals, 3 assists, AvgRating 7.05), and Joshua Kitolano (5 goals, 2 assists, AvgRating 6.87) stand out, all currently showing a declining form trend.

门将

NAC Breda's goalkeeper, Daniel Bielica, has an average rating of 6.83 in 27 appearances. He has shown a declining form trend in the last five games with a rating of 6.17. NAC Breda has achieved 4 clean sheets this season. Joël Drommel, Sparta Rotterdam's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 7.25 in 28 appearances; his form is also declining with a 7.00 rating in the last five games. Sparta Rotterdam has recorded 10 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

The Rat Verlegh Stadion is a high-scoring venue, with an average of 4.0 goals per game and a BTTS rate of 60% in the last 5 matches. NAC Breda averaged 1.06 home goals scored and 1.24 home goals conceded. Sparta Rotterdam showed a stronger offense away from home with 1.29 goals per game but also a vulnerable defense conceding 1.93 goals per away game.

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