🇳🇱

Eredivisie

SC Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo

04/05/2026, 12:30 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
SC Heerenveen
2.1
Total xG
3.1
Heracles Almelo
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
SHHA

SC Heerenveen

排名优势 (第9位 vs 第18位, 相差9位)
+0.09
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.07
全员可用

Heracles Almelo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.45
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.25
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.22
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第9位, 相差9位)
-0.10
Ajdin Hrustic未进大名单 (1球, 6助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

23%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

77%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage: SC Heerenveen's home offense (avg. 1.8 goals) meets Heracles Almelo's extremely vulnerable away defense (avg. 4.56 goals conceded)
  • Form trend: SC Heerenveen is in good condition with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games, while Heracles Almelo recorded 3 losses and 2 draws
  • Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a 61% probability for a SC Heerenveen home win
风险因素
  • Away weakness: Heracles Almelo concedes an average of 4.56 goals per away game
  • Limited offensive threat: Heracles Almelo averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Missing key contributor: Ajdin Hrustic (1 goal, 6 assists) is not in the lineup, impacting 17% of seasonal assists for Heracles Almelo
概述

SC Heerenveen (9th place, 41 points) host Heracles Almelo (18th place, 19 points) at the Abe Lenstra Stadion

Eredivisie match on April 5, 2026, 2:30 PM

SC Heerenveen aims to stay connected to the top places

Heracles Almelo is fighting against relegation

近期状态

SC Heerenveen is in good form (LWWWD)

This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 games

The last match ended in a draw

Heracles Almelo is in poor form (LLDLD)

The team has achieved 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last 5 games

Heracles Almelo also drew their last match

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

SC Heerenveen averages 1.8 goals per home game

They concede an average of 1.47 goals at home

Heracles Almelo scores an average of 1.22 goals away from home

However, the team concedes an alarming 4.56 goals per away game

SC Heerenveen has kept 3 clean sheets this season

Heracles Almelo achieved 2 clean sheets

At the Abe Lenstra Stadion, an average of 3.2 goals per game are scored

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

历史交锋

There have been a total of 5 head-to-head matches between the teams

SC Heerenveen won 3 of these matches

Heracles Almelo won 1 match

1 game ended in a draw

SC Heerenveen scored 10 goals, Heracles Almelo scored 3

The last encounter was won by SC Heerenveen away with a 3:0 score on December 20, 2025

SC Heerenveen has been dominant in recent direct encounters

关键球员

Jacob Trenskow is a key player for SC Heerenveen with 11 goals and 3 assists, holding an average rating of 7.23

He contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, showing stable form

Joris van Overeem displayed a solid season performance with 2 goals and 7 assists and a rating of 7.01

In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists with stable form

Lasse Nordås is another important offensive force with 5 goals and 1 assist and a rating of 7.14

His form is stable, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Sem Scheperman is an important midfielder for Heracles Almelo with 1 goal and 1 assist and a rating of 7.02

He scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, but his form is slightly declining

Walid Ould-Chikh delivered 1 goal and 4 assists with an average rating of 6.91

Lequincio Zeefuik scored 2 season goals with a rating of 6.75, with 1 goal in the last 5 games and stable form

门将

SC Heerenveen's goalkeeper, Bernt Klaverboer, recorded 3 clean sheets in 23 appearances and showed rising form with an average rating of 7.40 in the last 5 games

Remko Pasveer of Heracles Almelo made 2 clean sheets in 8 appearances and also shows rising form with an average rating of 7.19 in the last 5 games

影响因素

The Abe Lenstra Stadion, SC Heerenveen's home stadium, averages 3.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

SC Heerenveen scores an average of 1.8 goals at home and concedes 1.47 goals

Heracles Almelo concedes an average of 4.56 goals away, while scoring 1.22 goals

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