Bundesliga
FC Bayern München - FC Augsburg
01/24/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
2.6
3.7
1.0
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
82%
平局
12%
客胜
6%
进球数
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
81%
Over 3.5
62%
双重机会
主胜或平局
94%
客胜或平局
18%
非平局
88%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Offensive dominance vs defensive vulnerability: Bayern's attack (3.94 goals/game, recently 4.4) meets Augsburg's weak defense (1.94 goals conceded/game, 2.43 away)
- Drastic form disparity: Bayern comes with five consecutive wins (WWWWW), while Augsburg is winless in five games (LDLDD) and shows a negative form trend
- Historical superiority and home strength: Bayern has won the last 5 encounters and is a force at the Allianz Arena, where an average of 4.6 goals were scored per game recently
风险因素
- Defensive absences for Bayern: The absence of defenders like Stanisic and Laimer could give Augsburg a chance to score and make the game tighter than expected
- Potential complacency: As clear favorites against a team in crisis, there is always a risk of Bayern becoming complacent after an early lead
- High goal concession rate at the stadium: The Allianz Arena has a high rate of games where both teams score (80%), suggesting some defensive vulnerability even in home wins
概述
FC Bayern München (1st place, 50 points) hosts FC Augsburg (15th place, 16 points) at the Allianz Arena
This is a Bundesliga match on January 24, 2026, 3:30 PM
The standings show a clear clash between the league leaders and a team from the bottom half of the table
近期状态
FC Bayern München form: WWWWW
The home team has won the last 5 matches
FC Augsburg form: LDLDD
The away team is winless in 5 matches, with 2 losses and 3 draws
The form trend clearly favors FC Bayern München
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
FC Bayern München's attack is extremely strong, averaging 3.94 goals per game, and 3.90 at home
FC Augsburg's defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.94 goals per game, and 2.43 away
Augsburg scores an average of 1.11 goals per game, while Bayern concedes only 0.78
Recent matches at the Allianz Arena have seen an average of 4.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of the cases
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, FC Bayern München has been completely dominant
They won all 5 matches, with 0 draws and 0 losses for FC Augsburg
The goal difference is 15:6 in favor of Bayern
The last meeting ended in a 3-2 victory for FC Bayern München
关键球员
Harry Kane has already scored 21 goals this season and 5 in the last 5 games
Michael Olise is in outstanding form with 10 season goals, 13 assists, and a rising form trend
Luis Díaz is also a decisive factor in Bayern's offense with 9 goals and 9 assists
Alexis Claude-Maurice shows rising form for Augsburg and has scored 2 goals in the last 5 games
门将
Manuel Neuer is in goal for FC Bayern München, the team has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Finn Dahmen is the goalkeeper for FC Augsburg, whose team has kept 3 clean sheets so far
影响因素
The home advantage for FC Bayern at the Allianz Arena is statistically significant
In the last 5 home games, there was an average of 4.6 goals per game
Bayern has a strong record on natural grass with 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss (36:10 goals)
Augsburg's away record on natural grass is significantly weaker with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses (8:15 goals)