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Eredivisie

Telstar - FC Groningen

04/04/2026, 04:45 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Telstar
1.4
Total xG
3.0
FC Groningen
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
TELFG

Telstar

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.58
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.24
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.24

FC Groningen

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
+0.35
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.16

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

27%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Analysis: FC Groningen has a higher win probability of 42%
  • Telstar's improved offense: Currently averaging 2.2 goals per game, significantly more than the season average of 1.4 goals
  • FC Groningen's attacking strength: Averaging 2.0 goals in recent matches and 5.8 shots on target
风险因素
  • FC Groningen's away defense: Concedes an average of 1.92 goals per away game
  • Historical record: Telstar lost the only head-to-head match against FC Groningen
概述

Telstar (14th place, 27 points) host FC Groningen (10th place, 38 points) at BUKO Stadion

Eredivisie match on April 4, 2026, 6:45 PM

FC Groningen is considered a slight favorite by the mathematical analysis with a 42% win probability

近期状态

Telstar's form in the last five matches is LWWLW

This includes 3 wins and 2 losses

FC Groningen's recent form is LLWDW

This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five fixtures

Telstar's offense shows positive form recently, averaging 2.2 goals compared to a season average of 1.4

FC Groningen also exhibits a positive trend in recent goal scoring, with 2.0 goals on average compared to 1.5 season goals

统计数据

Telstar averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded per game this season

At home, they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded

FC Groningen has a season average of 1.43 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded

Away from home, FC Groningen averages 1.42 goals scored and 1.92 goals conceded

Telstar had both teams scoring in 18 matches, while FC Groningen had it in 15 matches

The BUKO Stadion has seen an average of 3.0 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 matches at BUKO Stadion

The pipeline analysis predicts a 62% probability for both teams to score

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams

FC Groningen won this single encounter

Telstar scored 0 goals, while FC Groningen scored 2 goals

The last meeting on September 20, 2025, ended in a 2:0 victory for FC Groningen

关键球员

For Telstar, Patrick Brouwer, Jeff Hardeveld, and Sem van Duijn are key players

Patrick Brouwer scored 7 goals and 4 assists this season, contributing 4 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.73

Jeff Hardeveld contributed 4 goals and 6 assists this season, with 2 assists in his last 5 games and a rating of 7.58

Sem van Duijn has 2 goals and 2 assists this season, and 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games

For FC Groningen, Thom van Bergen, Younes Taha, and Marvin Peersman are notable

Thom van Bergen scored 8 goals and 3 assists this season, including 4 goals in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.14

Younes Taha provided 4 goals and 7 assists this season, with 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games

Marvin Peersman recorded 3 goals and 1 assist this season, with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games

门将

Telstar's goalkeeper, Ronald Koeman Jr., played 27 season games and kept 4 clean sheets

For FC Groningen, Etienne Vaessen was in goal for 23 season games and achieved 8 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will take place at BUKO Stadion on artificial turf

Telstar's record on artificial turf is 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with 16:17 goals in 10 games

FC Groningen's record on artificial turf is 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses with 5:6 goals in 4 games

BUKO Stadion has shown an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

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