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Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda

04/12/2026, 10:15 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Fortuna Sittard
1.4
Total xG
2.8
NAC Breda
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
FSNB

Fortuna Sittard

防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
Mohamed Ihattaren替补席 (6球, 10助攻)
Paul Gladon替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Ivo Pinto未进大名单 (0球, 5助攻)

NAC Breda

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.08
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-0.04
Charles-Andreas Brym替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Mohamed Nassoh替补席 (4球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

28%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

72%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • NAC Breda's weak away defense with an average of 2.64 goals conceded per game
  • Home team Fortuna Sittard scores an average of 1.44 goals per game at their own stadium
  • Fortuna Sittard Stadion shows a high average of 3.6 goals in the last 5 games, with both teams always scoring
风险因素
  • NAC Breda recorded an average of only 3.4 shots on target in the last 5 games
  • NAC Breda concedes an average of 2.64 goals per away game
概述

Fortuna Sittard (12th place, 35 points) host NAC Breda (17th place, 24 points) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Eredivisie match on April 12, 2026, 12:15 PM

Fortuna Sittard aims to consolidate its position in the table

NAC Breda is fighting for survival and occupies a relegation playoff spot

近期状态

Fortuna Sittard shows inconsistent performance in the last five games with a form of "WLWLL"

This includes 2 wins and 3 losses

The last result was a loss

NAC Breda is winless in their last five games, with a form of "LDLLD"

This includes 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

The last result was a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Fortuna Sittard averages 1.48 goals scored per game and concedes 1.86 goals

NAC Breda averages 1.00 goals scored per game and concedes 1.72 goals

In home games, Fortuna Sittard averages 1.44 goals scored and concedes 1.50 goals

NAC Breda concedes an average of 2.64 goals in away games

The Fortuna Sittard Stadion has seen an average of 3.6 goals per match in the last 5 games

In these 5 games, both teams always scored (BTTS 100%) and there were always over 2.5 goals (Over 2.5 100%)

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard secured 1 win and NAC Breda won 2 times

The goal difference is 2:3 in favor of NAC Breda

The last encounter was won by NAC Breda on August 17, 2025, with a score of 2:1

NAC Breda has been dominant in recent meetings

关键球员

For Fortuna Sittard, Kaj Sierhuis (10 goals, 0 assists), Dimitrios Limnios (2 goals, 4 assists), and Lance Duijvestijn (2 goals, 2 assists) are key attacking players

Kaj Sierhuis scored 2 goals in the last 5 games

Dimitrios Limnios showed a rising form trend with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Fortuna Sittard will be without Mohamed Ihattaren (6 goals, 10 assists), Paul Gladon (5 goals, 2 assists), and Ivo Pinto (0 goals, 5 assists), reducing the usual starting XI strength to 79%

For NAC Breda, Boy Kemper (3 goals, 3 assists), Lewis Holtby (1 goal, 5 assists), and Kamal Sowah (1 goal, 1 assist) are noteworthy

Kamal Sowah scored 1 goal in his last 4 appearances

NAC Breda will be without Charles-Andreas Brym (2 goals, 4 assists) and Mohamed Nassoh (4 goals, 1 assist), but the usual starting XI strength remains at 100%

门将

Fortuna Sittard has Luuk Koopmans in goal with 8 season appearances

NAC Breda starts with Daniel Bielica, who played in 28 games and recorded 5 clean sheets

Daniel Bielica's form trend is declining, with an average rating of 6.32 in the last 5 games

影响因素

Fortuna Sittard Stadion is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals in the last five matches

In all these games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals

Fortuna Sittard scores 1.44 goals per home game, and NAC Breda concedes an average of 2.64 goals per away game

The mathematical analysis indicates a 38% probability for a home win

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