Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle - Excelsior
04/12/2026, 12:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
28%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 39%
- Excelsior is in poor form, having suffered 4 losses in their last 5 matches
- PEC Zwolle has a home advantage on artificial turf with a record of 5 wins and 2 losses in 10 matches
风险因素
- PEC Zwolle's goal production is currently stalled at an average of 1.0 goals compared to the season average of 1.4
- Excelsior concedes an average of 1.87 goals per away game
- PEC Zwolle is missing key players such as Shola Shoretire and Tristan Gooijer, who account for 20% of the goal threat
概述
PEC Zwolle (13th place, 33 points) host Excelsior (16th place, 27 points) at MAC³PARK Stadion
Eredivisie match on April 12, 2026, 2:30 PM
PEC Zwolle aims to move away from the relegation zone, while Excelsior needs crucial points in the fight for survival
近期状态
PEC Zwolle (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss): DDDWL
The home team achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Excelsior (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss): LLLDL
The visitors recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches
统计数据
PEC Zwolle scores an average of 1.31 goals per game and concedes 2.00 goals
At home, they average 1.29 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per game
Excelsior scores an average of 1.00 goal and concedes 1.69 goals
Away, they average 1.00 goal scored and 1.87 goals conceded per game
PEC Zwolle recorded 5 clean sheets, Excelsior also 5
20 matches involving PEC Zwolle and 18 matches involving Excelsior ended with both teams scoring
At MAC³PARK Stadion, an average of 2.6 goals were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches at this stadium
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches at MAC³PARK Stadion
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, PEC Zwolle won 2 times and Excelsior won 1 time
There were no draws in these encounters
The last match ended 1:2 in favor of Excelsior on December 20, 2025
Overall, PEC Zwolle scored 7 goals and Excelsior scored 5 goals in direct duels
The recent record shows dominance for the home team
关键球员
PEC Zwolle:
Koen Kostons scored 11 goals and 6 assists with an average rating of 7.04
Younes Namli contributed 2 goals and 4 assists, with a rating of 7.29
Thijs Oosting registered 5 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.78
Excelsior:
Noah Naujoks has scored 8 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 6.85
Irakli Yegoian contributed 4 goals and 2 assists, with a rating of 7.00
Gyan de Regt registered 2 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.79
门将
Tom de Graaff, PEC Zwolle's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 6.95 this season
PEC Zwolle achieved 5 clean sheets
Stijn van Gassel, Excelsior's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 7.20 and 1 assist
Excelsior also recorded 5 clean sheets
影响因素
MAC³PARK Stadion tends to be high-scoring with an average of 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%
PEC Zwolle has a good record on artificial turf with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses from 10 matches
They scored 16 goals and conceded 10
Excelsior has a weaker record on artificial turf with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses from 10 matches
They scored 10 goals and conceded 15