Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 - VfL Wolfsburg
01/24/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.8
1.3
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
32%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
34%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Both teams suffer from defensive vulnerabilities, with Wolfsburg conceding an average of 2.11 and Mainz 1.72 goals per game, suggesting a high-scoring match
- Crucial absences on both sides: Mainz must play without top scorer Nadiem Amiri, while Wolfsburg will be without their suspended captain Maximilian Arnold
- The pressure of the relegation battle for Mainz (18th place) could spur the home team to a particularly combative performance
风险因素
- The goal statistics are contradictory: The defensive weakness of both teams suggests goals, but the stadium's history (average of 1.6 goals) points to a low-scoring game
- The impact of the missing key players Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) and Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg) is hard to predict and could make the game's outcome unforeseeable
概述
FSV Mainz 05, in 18th place with 12 points, hosts VfL Wolfsburg, who are in 12th place with 19 points
The Bundesliga match takes place on January 24, 2026, at 3:30 PM at the Mewa Arena
This is a crucial match for Mainz in the relegation battle, while Wolfsburg aims to pull away from the bottom of the table
近期状态
FSV Mainz 05: WDDWL (based on leagueTable) - In the last 5 matches, there have been 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
VfL Wolfsburg: WLLWD (based on leagueTable) - In the last 5 matches, there have been 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Both teams are showing inconsistent form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Wolfsburg's offense is statistically stronger with an average of 1,5 goals per game compared to Mainz's 1,0 goals
Both defenses are vulnerable, with Wolfsburg conceding more goals per game (2,11) than Mainz (1,72)
Both teams scored in 78% of Wolfsburg's matches, compared to 56% for Mainz
Wolfsburg's games have seen over 2.5 goals more frequently (67%) than Mainz's (50%)
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, there was 1 win for FSV Mainz 05, 1 win for VfL Wolfsburg, and 3 draws
The goal difference is very balanced at 10:9 in favor of Mainz
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw
The record suggests a very evenly matched game
关键球员
Nadiem Amiri has scored 5 goals and provided 1 assist for Mainz this season, but is out due to illness
Jae-sung Lee has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists for Mainz
Mohamed Amoura is a key player in Wolfsburg's attack with 6 goals and 2 assists
Dzenan Pejcinovic is in impressive form for Wolfsburg, with 5 goals in his last 4 appearances
Christian Eriksen is an important playmaker for the visitors with 4 assists
门将
Daniel Batz will be in goal for Mainz, he has an average season rating of 7.19
Kamil Grabara is the goalkeeper for Wolfsburg, with an average rating of 6.88
Both teams have only managed one clean sheet each this season
影响因素
The home advantage for Mainz is not statistically strong
Statistics for the Mewa Arena show a trend towards low-scoring games, with an average of only 1.6 goals per game, which contrasts with the defensive weaknesses of both teams
The record of both teams on natural grass is rather negative, with Mainz having a home record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses