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Eredivisie

FC Utrecht - Telstar

04/11/2026, 02:30 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
FC Utrecht
2.0
Total xG
3.1
Telstar
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

3:1

7%

3:0

7%
xG 分解
FUTEL

FC Utrecht

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.48
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.21
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第15位, 相差6位)
+0.06

Telstar

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.32
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.19
状态上升 (2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.19
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
-0.07
Nökkvi Thórisson未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

23%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

77%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of 60% for a home win
  • Utrecht's strong home defense (Avg. 0.80 goals conceded) meets Telstar's vulnerable away defense (Avg. 1.91 goals conceded)
  • FC Utrecht shows a positive offensive trend, currently scoring more frequently (2.3) than their season average (1.6)
风险因素
  • Telstar shows a positive offensive trend, currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.4)
  • Stadion Galgenwaard recorded an average of 1.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches, which contrasts with the predicted Over 2.5 goals probability of 59%
概述

FC Utrecht (9th place, 41 points) host Telstar (15th place, 27 points) at Stadion Galgenwaard

Eredivisie match on April 11, 2026, 4:30 PM

FC Utrecht aims to solidify its upper-half table position, while Telstar fights for league survival

近期状态

FC Utrecht's form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last 5 games is WDWWL

This translates to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last match resulted in a loss, ending a 3-game unbeaten streak

Telstar's form in their last 5 games is WWLWL

This consists of 3 wins and 2 losses

The last match resulted in a loss, breaking a 2-game winning streak

统计数据

FC Utrecht scored an average of 1.55 goals per game this season and conceded 1.21 goals

In home games, the average is 1.53 goals scored and only 0.80 goals conceded

Telstar scored an average of 1.31 goals per game and conceded 1.66 goals

Away, the average is 1.27 goals scored and 1.91 goals conceded

FC Utrecht kept 7 clean sheets, Telstar kept 4 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 18 FC Utrecht games and 18 Telstar games

Stadion Galgenwaard recorded an average of 1.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 games, and no more than 2.5 goals were scored in any of the last 5 games

FC Utrecht is currently scoring more frequently (2.3) than their season average (1.6)

Telstar is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.4)

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams

In this match, there were 0 home wins, 0 away wins, and 1 draw

The goal difference is 1:1

The last encounter on November 23, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

The recent head-to-head record between the two teams is even

关键球员

For FC Utrecht, Souffian El Karouani is important with 2 goals and 10 assists and a season rating of 7.44, although his form is currently slightly declining (-0.38)

Gjivai Zechiël contributed 7 season goals and 4 assists, achieved a season rating of 7.09, and shows a rising form (+0.27) with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Artem Stepanov scored 4 season goals and 1 assist, scoring 4 goals in the last 5 games and showing a form trend rating of 0.15

For Telstar, Patrick Brouwer stands out with 7 season goals, 4 assists, and an average rating of 7.01, with 4 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games

Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp scored 7 goals and 1 assist, with 3 goals in the last 5 games and a rising form (+0.21)

Jeff Hardeveld recorded 4 goals and 6 assists, with 2 assists in the last 5 games and a rising form (+0.35)

Not nominated for Telstar is Nökkvi Thórisson (1G/2A)

门将

FC Utrecht's goalkeeper, Vasilios Barkas, achieved an average rating of 7.05 and 7 clean sheets in 28 games

Telstar's goalkeeper, Ronald Koeman Jr., recorded an average rating of 7.26 and 4 clean sheets in 28 games

影响因素

FC Utrecht shows strong offensive performance at home (1.53 home goals per game) and defensive stability (0.80 home goals conceded per game)

Telstar, on the other hand, concedes an average of 1.91 goals per away game

Stadion Galgenwaard recorded an average of 1.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 1 out of 5 games

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