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Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo - FC Volendam

04/26/2026, 12:30 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Heracles Almelo
1.3
Total xG
2.4
FC Volendam
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

11%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
HAFV

Heracles Almelo

防守不足 (场均失2.7球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.86
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.63
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.20
Lequincio Zeefuik替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.2球)

FC Volendam

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.47
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.17
Brandley Kuwas替补席 (5球, 3助攻)
Aurelio Oehlers替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Ozan Kökcü替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Joel Ideho替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Yannick Leliendal替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

31%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

69%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model slightly favors Heracles with a 42% home win probability and 73% for a home win or draw
  • FC Volendam's defense is extremely vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.88 goals per away match
  • Both teams are in a negative form trend, with Heracles showing 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last five games, and Volendam 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
风险因素
  • Heracles Almelo averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • FC Volendam conceded an average of 3.88 goals per away game this season
  • The probability of both teams scoring is only 49% according to the model
概述

Heracles Almelo (18th place, 19 points) host FC Volendam (15th place, 28 points) at Asito Stadion. The Eredivisie match takes place on April 26, 2026, 2:30 PM. Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle

近期状态

Heracles Almelo's league form is DLDLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This translates to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last five matches. Their last result was a loss. Heracles currently has 2 consecutive losses. FC Volendam shows a form of LLLDL, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last five games. Their last result was also a loss

统计数据

Heracles Almelo scores an average of 1.13 goals and concedes 2.57 goals per game this season. At home, the average is 1.16 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded. FC Volendam scores an average of 1.03 goals and concedes 1.67 goals per game. Away, their average is 1.0 goals scored and a high 3.88 goals conceded. Heracles kept 2 clean sheets in 30 season games, Volendam also in 2 of 30 games. At this venue, an average of 2.0 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, there has been no home win for Heracles Almelo so far. FC Volendam has won 1 match, and 2 games ended in a draw. The goal difference is 3:6 in favor of FC Volendam. The last encounter was won by FC Volendam away with a 0:3 score on October 25, 2025

关键球员

For Heracles Almelo, the following players could play a role: Luka Kulenovic with 5 goals and 3 assists and an average rating of 6.87. Ajdin Hrustic contributed 1 goal and 6 assists with a rating of 6.94. Sem Scheperman scored 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 6.97. For FC Volendam, Robin van Cruijsen with 4 goals and 3 assists and a rating of 6.79. Henk Veerman scored 4 times and provided 2 assists with a rating of 6.80. Anthony Descotte scored 2 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.93

门将

Heracles Almelo's goalkeeper, Remko Pasveer, has an average rating of 7.06 in 10 season appearances. He kept 2 clean sheets in home games. Kayne van Oevelen, FC Volendam's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 7.17 in 30 season appearances. He kept no clean sheets in away games

影响因素

The match takes place at Asito Stadion on artificial turf. Heracles Almelo has a record of 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses on artificial turf with a goal difference of 5:17. FC Volendam has 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses on this surface with a goal difference of 13:14. Heracles shows some home strength with an average of 1.16 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded at home. Volendam shows high vulnerability away with 1.0 goals scored and 3.88 goals conceded

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