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Eredivisie

Telstar - Sparta Rotterdam

04/22/2026, 06:00 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
Telstar
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Sparta Rotterdam
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
TELSR

Telstar

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.64
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第10位, 相差6位)
-0.08
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.08
Nökkvi Thórisson替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Sparta Rotterdam

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.31
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.22
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.14
排名优势 (第10位 vs 第16位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Shunsuke Mito替补席 (6球, 3助攻)
Teo Quintero未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

30%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an extremely balanced match with almost identical win probabilities for both teams (Telstar 35%, Sparta 35%)
  • Telstar's current attacking form is improved (Avg. 1.6 goals) compared to their season average (Avg. 1.3 goals), according to Advanced Stats
  • Sparta Rotterdam's offensive performance has recently declined (Avg. 0.8 goals) compared to their season average (Avg. 1.2 goals)
概述

Telstar (16th place, 27 points) host Sparta Rotterdam (10th place, 42 points) at BUKO Stadion in the Eredivisie

The match will take place on April 22, 2026, 8:00 PM

Both teams are fighting to connect with the midfield or avoid relegation

近期状态

Telstar's league form is WLWLL

This translates to 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last two league games resulted in losses

Sparta Rotterdam's form is DLWDL

This means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses from their last 5 league matches

Their last league match ended in a loss

统计数据

Telstar scores an average of 1.3 goals per game and concedes 1.73 goals

In 19 matches, Telstar scored, and in 17 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored

At home, Telstar averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded

Sparta Rotterdam scores an average of 1.17 goals per game and concedes 1.63 goals

Sparta Rotterdam kept 11 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 12 matches

Away from home, Sparta Rotterdam averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded

At BUKO Stadion, an average of 2.4 goals were scored in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between these teams so far

Sparta Rotterdam won this away game 0:1

The last encounter took place on October 25, 2025

关键球员

For Telstar, Patrick Brouwer with 7 season goals and 4 assists, and Jeff Hardeveld with 4 goals and 6 assists are crucial

Danny Bakker contributed 3 season goals and 2 assists

For Sparta Rotterdam, Tobias Lauritsen is the top scorer with 11 goals and 3 assists

Milan Zonneveld (2 goals) and Vito van Crooij (1 assist) are other important players

门将

Telstar's goalkeeper, Ronald Koeman Jr., played in 29 season matches and achieved 4 clean sheets

Sparta Rotterdam's goalkeeper Joël Drommel played in 30 season matches and recorded 11 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Telstar has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses (15:17 goals) on artificial turf

Sparta Rotterdam shows a better record on artificial turf with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses (11:8 goals)

Telstar's home advantage is statistically described by 1.33 home goals scored compared to 1.5 home goals conceded

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