NAC Breda (17th place, 25 points) host Ajax (5th place, 51 points) at the Rat Verlegh Stadion in the Eredivisie. The match will take place on April 25, 2026, 8:00 PM. While NAC Breda is fighting against relegation, Ajax is aiming for a spot in European competitions. The mathematical analysis projects 1.07 expected goals for NAC Breda and 1.17 expected goals for Ajax.

NAC Breda's form over the last five games across all competitions is DLLDD (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Their most recent results include a 1-1 away draw against Fortuna Sittard and a 0-0 home draw against Sparta Rotterdam. Ajax has a form of LWDLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) in their last five matches. This follows a 3-0 away win against Heracles Almelo and a 1-2 home loss against FC Twente. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

NAC Breda scores an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and concedes 1.7 goals. At home, they score 1.0 goals and concede 1.17 goals per home game. They kept 5 clean sheets. Ajax shows a stronger offense with an average of 1.9 goals per game and 1.23 goals conceded. Away from home, Ajax scores 1.87 goals and concedes 1.6 goals. Ajax has kept 8 clean sheets. At the Rat Verlegh Stadion, an average of 2.6 total goals were scored in the last 5 matches. In 2 of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 games, there were over 2.5 goals.

In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, NAC Breda secured one win, while Ajax won twice. Overall, NAC Breda scored 4 goals and Ajax scored 6 goals in these encounters. The last meeting on September 27, 2025, ended with a 1-2 victory for Ajax, highlighting Ajax's recent dominance.

For NAC Breda, Mohamed Nassoh (5 goals, 1 assist) with a stable trend, Moussa Soumano (3 goals) with a rising trend, and Boy Kemper (3 goals, 3 assists) with a stable trend are important offensive players. For Ajax, Mika Godts (15 goals, 10 assists) despite a declining trend, Steven Berghuis (4 goals, 2 assists) with a rising trend, and Wout Weghorst (7 goals, 3 assists) with a stable trend are the standout players.

Daniel Bielica of NAC Breda has played in 29 games and recorded 5 clean sheets. His form trend is declining. For Ajax, Maarten Paes made 7 season appearances and kept 2 clean sheets. His form trend is stable.

NAC Breda's home strength is reflected in an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per home game. The Rat Verlegh Stadion has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches. In 2 of 5 games, both teams scored, and 2 of 5 games had over 2.5 goals.