Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles - AZ
04/23/2026, 04:45 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.3
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
25%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- Offensive Form: Go Ahead Eagles currently score more often (3.0 goals) than their season average (1.6 goals), while AZ's goal production is faltering (1.4 goals recently compared to 1.9 goals season average)
- Defensive Contrast: Go Ahead Eagles shows defensive stability at home (avg. 1.0 goals conceded), while AZ is vulnerable away (avg. 2.4 goals conceded)
- Mathematical Prediction: The pipeline analysis indicates a 43% probability of a home win for Go Ahead Eagles
风险因素
- Injury Absence: AZ is without Troy Parrott (15 goals, 3 assists) and Kees Smit (3 goals, 3 assists)
- Away Weakness: AZ concedes an average of 2.4 goals per away game
- Historical Record: Go Ahead Eagles has not achieved a single victory against AZ in 5 head-to-head matches
概述
Go Ahead Eagles (11th place, 36 points) host AZ (6th place, 48 points) in the Eredivisie
The match takes place on April 23, 2026, 6:45 PM at De Adelaarshorst
AZ is fighting for a better league position, while Go Ahead Eagles are in mid-table
近期状态
Go Ahead Eagles show a form of LWLWD in their last five matches
They recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The last match was a 0-0 away draw against FC Groningen
Previously, there was a clear 5-0 home win against PEC Zwolle
AZ also has a form of LWLWD over their last five matches
This includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
AZ recently drew 2-2 at home against Shakhtar Donetsk
Before that, they achieved a 3-0 home win against SC Heerenveen
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Go Ahead Eagles score an average of 1.67 goals per game and concede 1.5 goals per game this season
AZ averages 1.73 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game
Go Ahead Eagles are defensively more stable in home games with an average of 1.65 goals scored and only 1.0 goals conceded
AZ concedes an average of 2.4 goals away from home, but scores 1.8 goals
The last 5 matches at De Adelaarshorst saw an average of 4.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 games
历史交锋
In the 5 direct encounters between Go Ahead Eagles and AZ, Go Ahead Eagles registered 0 wins, AZ claimed 3 wins, and there were 2 draws
AZ has scored a total of 15 goals, while Go Ahead Eagles managed 5 goals
The last match ended in a 2-2 draw on December 7, 2025
AZ has shown dominance in recent head-to-head clashes
关键球员
For Go Ahead Eagles, Mathis Suray is an important offensive player with 11 goals and 2 assists in 28 appearances, including 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Jakob Breum contributed 6 goals and 5 assists in 24 appearances, recently showing rising form with 4 goals and 1 assist
Victor Edvardsen provided 3 goals and 5 assists in 22 appearances, with 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games
For AZ, Sven Mijnans is the top scorer with 10 goals and 5 assists in 26 appearances and is in rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 games
Mees de Wit is an important provider with 3 goals and 6 assists in 29 appearances
Isak Jensen was involved in 2 goals and 4 assists in 29 appearances, with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games
门将
Jari De Busser of Go Ahead Eagles kept 8 clean sheets this season
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro of AZ also achieved 8 clean sheets
影响因素
Go Ahead Eagles are offensively strong at home with an average of 1.65 goals and defensively stable with 1.0 goals conceded per game
AZ concedes an average of 2.4 goals away from home
De Adelaarshorst is a stadium with a high goal rate, averaging 4.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches