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Eredivisie

PSV - PEC Zwolle

04/23/2026, 07:00 PM

6 : 1
预期进球
PSV
2.7
Total xG
3.7
PEC Zwolle
1.0
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:0

8%

3:1

8%

4:0

6%

4:1

6%
xG 分解
PSVPZ

PSV

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
+1.11
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第13位, 相差12位)
+0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
-0.13
Ismael Saibari替补席 (15球, 8助攻)
Ivan Perišić替补席 (5球, 10助攻)
Dennis Man替补席 (6球, 6助攻)
Paul Wanner未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Jerdy Schouten未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)

PEC Zwolle

防守不足 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.69
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第1位, 相差12位)
-0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05
Younes Namli替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Tristan Gooijer替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

73%

平局

17%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

71%

Under 2.5

29%

Over 3.5

50%

Under 3.5

50%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

27%

非平局

83%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for PSV with a probability of 73%
  • PSV's strong home offense, averaging 2.76 goals per game, faces PEC Zwolle's vulnerable away defense, which concedes an average of 2.73 goals per game
  • PSV holds a historically dominant record against PEC Zwolle with 4 wins out of 5 direct encounters and a goal difference of 22:4
风险因素
  • PEC Zwolle concedes an average of 2.73 goals per away game
  • PSV's recent goal production has slowed, averaging 2.2 goals compared to their season average of 2.6 goals
概述

PSV host PEC Zwolle at Philips Stadion in an Eredivisie match

The game is scheduled for April 23, 2026, 9:00 PM

PSV are in 1st place in the league table with 74 points

PEC Zwolle are in 13th place with 34 points

近期状态

PSV's recent form is WLLWW

They recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five matches

PSV recently secured two consecutive wins

PEC Zwolle's recent form is DDWLD

They achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches

PEC Zwolle recently played a draw

统计数据

PSV averages 2.8 goals scored per game and concedes 1.33 goals

At home, they average 2.76 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded per home game

They kept 2 clean sheets in home matches

PEC Zwolle averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 2.0 goals

Away from home, they average 1.33 goals scored and 2.73 goals conceded per away game

They kept 1 clean sheet in away matches

The Philips Stadion sees an average of 4.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in all of the last 5 matches at the stadium

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of the last 5 matches

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head matches, PSV won 4 times and PEC Zwolle won 1 time

PSV scored 22 goals while PEC Zwolle scored 4 goals

PSV won the last encounter 4-0 on October 4, 2025

关键球员

PSV relies on Joey Veerman (8 goals, 14 assists, Avg. 7.97 rating) in midfield

Guus Til (13 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 7.20 rating) is another important midfielder

In attack, Ricardo Pepi (11 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.13 rating) is a key force

For PEC Zwolle, Koen Kostons (11 goals, 6 assists, Avg. 7.02 rating) is crucial in attack

Thijs Oosting (6 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.81 rating) is an important midfielder with rising form

Odysseus Velanas (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.85 rating) also shows rising form

门将

PSV's goalkeeper is Nick Olij

The home team PSV recorded 7 clean sheets this season

PEC Zwolle's goalkeeper is Tom de Graaff

The away team PEC Zwolle recorded 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Philips Stadion is known for high-scoring games with an average of 4.2 goals per match

PSV shows a strong offense at home with Avg. 2.76 goals per game

PEC Zwolle concedes Avg. 2.73 goals per away game

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