Eredivisie
Excelsior - FC Utrecht
04/26/2026, 10:15 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.7
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%0:2
9%2:1
6%2:2
5%xG 分解
Excelsior
FC Utrecht
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
24%
平局
28%
客胜
48%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
52%
客胜或平局
76%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Pipeline forecast: The mathematical analysis favors FC Utrecht with a 48% win probability
- Strong away form: FC Utrecht showed improved form in their last five games with DWWLW
- Dominance in head-to-head: FC Utrecht won the last direct encounter 4:1 and has a 3:0 goal advantage in H2H
风险因素
- Excelsior conceded an average of 1.5 goals per home game
- Excelsior recorded 3 losses and 2 draws in their last five home matches
- Limited data availability for duels in the last 5 games
概述
Excelsior (16th place, 28 points) hosts FC Utrecht (8th place, 44 points) at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Eredivisie match on April 26, 2026, 12:15 PM
Excelsior is fighting against relegation, while Utrecht is aiming for a European spot
The mathematical analysis predicts FC Utrecht as the favorite with a 48% probability
A draw is predicted at 28%, and a home win for Excelsior at 24%
近期状态
Excelsior showed poor form in their last five matches with LLDLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
Their last match ended in a draw
FC Utrecht, on the other hand, is in better shape with DWWLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) from their last five games
Their last result was a win
Utrecht demonstrates a rising form curve, while Excelsior is in a downward spiral
统计数据
Excelsior scores an average of 1.03 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.7 goals per game this season
In home games, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded
The team kept 5 clean sheets this season
FC Utrecht scores an average of 1.63 goals per game and concedes 1.2 goals per game
Away from home, Utrecht scores an average of 1.69 goals and concedes 1.77 goals
The team recorded 7 clean sheets
The stadium averages 2.6 goals per game
In 3 out of 5 matches at this venue, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored
Excelsior consistently scores (~1.0 goals per game)
FC Utrecht is currently scoring more frequently (2.8) than their season average (1.6)
历史交锋
In 3 direct encounters, Excelsior has not secured a single win, while FC Utrecht won once and there were two draws
The goal difference in these matches is 4:7 in favor of FC Utrecht
The last meeting on August 24, 2025, ended with a 4:1 away victory for FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht has recently been dominant in head-to-head comparisons
关键球员
Excelsior's key midfielders include Noah Naujoks (8 goals, 1 assist, stable form)
Attacker Derensili Sanches Fernandes is an important factor with 3 goals and 2 assists and rising form
Irakli Yegoian contributed 4 goals and 2 assists this season, but his form is declining
For FC Utrecht, midfielder Gjivai Zechiêl is crucial with 8 goals and 4 assists and stable form
Defender Souffian El Karouani stands out with 10 assists, although his form is declining
Forward Artem Stepanov scored 4 goals and 1 assist this season, and in the last 5 games, he scored 3 goals with stable form
门将
Stijn van Gassel is in goal for Excelsior, with a season average rating of 7.18 and 5 clean sheets
For FC Utrecht, Vasilios Barkas is the goalkeeper, with a season average rating of 7.05 and 7 clean sheets
Vasilios Barkas shows a rising form trend
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf
Excelsior has a record of 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses (11:17 goals) on artificial turf
FC Utrecht has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses (8:6 goals) on artificial turf
Excelsior scores an average of 1.0 goals at home and concedes 1.5 goals
FC Utrecht scores an average of 1.69 goals away and concedes 1.77 goals
The Van Donge & De Roo Stadion has averaged 2.6 total goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 out of 5 games