Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle - Heracles Almelo
05/03/2026, 12:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.2
1.4
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
PEC Zwolle
Heracles Almelo
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
25%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- PEC Zwolle's home strength with an average of 1.33 home goals and 1.27 home goals conceded
- Heracles Almelo shows an extremely weak away defense with 4.09 goals conceded per game
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for PEC Zwolle with 47% probability and 1.84 expected goals
风险因素
- Heracles Almelo averaged 3.4 shots on target in the last 5 matches
- Heracles Almelo concedes an average of 4.09 goals per away game
- PEC Zwolle has 7 injured or suspended players in the squad
概述
PEC Zwolle (14th place, 34 points) host Heracles Almelo (18th place, 19 points) at MAC³PARK Stadion. Eredivisie match on May 3, 2026, 2:30 PM. Both teams are in the lower part of the table and are fighting for important points to avoid relegation
近期状态
PEC Zwolle's form in the last five matches is DWLDL
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The last result was a loss
Heracles Almelo shows a significantly weaker form of LDLLL
This is 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Heracles has a streak of 3 consecutive losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
PEC Zwolle scores an average of 1.32 goals and concedes 2.13 goals per game this season
Heracles Almelo scores an average of 1.10 goals and concedes 2.55 goals per game
In home games, PEC Zwolle scores 1.33 goals and concedes 1.27 goals
Heracles Almelo concedes a high number of goals away, with an average of 4.09 goals conceded per away game
Both teams scored in 22 PEC Zwolle games and 16 Heracles Almelo games
20 PEC Zwolle games and 22 Heracles Almelo games ended with over 2.5 goals
At MAC³PARK Stadion, an average of 2.4 goals were scored in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games at MAC³PARK Stadion
历史交锋
There were no draws in the last 5 direct encounters
Heracles Almelo won 3 of these matches, PEC Zwolle 2
The goal difference in these games is 11:15 in favor of Heracles Almelo
The last match on November 2, 2025, ended with an 8:2 victory for Heracles Almelo
关键球员
For PEC Zwolle, Koen Kostons (11 goals, 6 assists) and Thijs Oosting (6 goals, 2 assists) are crucial
Odysseus Velanas (2 goals, 1 assist) shows a rising form and scored 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
PEC Zwolle will be without Younes Namli (2G/4A) as he was not nominated
For Heracles Almelo, Luka Kulenovic (5 goals, 3 assists) and Mario Engels (1 goal, 2 assists) stand out
Sem Scheperman (1 goal, 1 assist) scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
Heracles Almelo will play without Ajdin Hrustic (1G/6A), Ivan Mesik (2G/0A), and Lequincio Zeefuik (2G/0A) as they were not nominated
门将
Tom de Graaff, goalkeeper for PEC Zwolle, has an average rating of 6.89 this season
PEC Zwolle recorded 5 clean sheets
Timo Jansink, goalkeeper for Heracles Almelo, has an average rating of 6.75 this season
Heracles Almelo achieved 2 clean sheets
Timo Jansink did not play in the last 5 games
影响因素
MAC³PARK Stadion, a venue with artificial turf, sees an average of 2.4 goals per game
PEC Zwolle has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses (16:11 goals) on artificial turf
Heracles Almelo has a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses (4:18 goals) on artificial turf
PEC Zwolle scores an average of 1.33 goals at home and concedes 1.27 goals
Heracles Almelo concedes an average of 4.09 goals per away game