Eredivisie
AZ - FC Twente
05/03/2026, 02:45 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.3
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
AZ
FC Twente
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
26%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis slightly favors AZ with a home win probability of 42%
- AZ has a historically strong record against FC Twente at the AFAS Stadion and recently showed stable form
- FC Twente's goal production has been stalling in recent games, while AZ consistently scores
风险因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of both teams scoring, at 66%
- A value of 63% for over 2.5 goals indicates a potentially high-scoring match
- FC Twente shows a negative trend in goal production according to Advanced Stats
概述
AZ (6th place, 49 points) hosts FC Twente (5th place, 54 points) at the AFAS Stadion
Eredivisie match on May 3, 2026, 4:45 PM
This is a clash between two top-half teams, with AZ aiming to close the gap to European qualification spots
近期状态
AZ's form in the last 5 games is WLWDD
This translates to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Their last two matches ended in a draw
FC Twente's form in their last 5 matches is LWWWD
They secured 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Twente's last game also ended in a draw
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
AZ averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded per game this season
At home, AZ averages 1.70 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded
FC Twente also scored 1.68 goals per game while conceding only 1.06 goals
Away from home, Twente's goal average is 1.69 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded
AZ's home games have seen an average of 3.2 total goals per match in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 home matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 home matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, AZ secured 4 home wins and FC Twente achieved 1 away win
AZ scored a total of 9 goals, while FC Twente netted 6 goals
The last meeting on November 30, 2025, saw FC Twente win away with a 1-0 score
AZ has generally been the more dominant side in recent meetings
关键球员
AZ relies on Troy Parrott, who contributed 15 goals and 3 assists this season and recently scored 1 goal in 2/5 games
Midfielder Sven Mijnans has scored 10 goals and 5 assists, showing rising form with 3 goals in 3/5 recent games
Defender Mees de Wit has 3 goals and 6 assists this season
For FC Twente, Kristian Hlynsson with 9 goals and 3 assists, and a recently declining form, is important
Daan Rots contributed 8 goals and 4 assists, while Sam Lammers has 5 goals and 7 assists, recently providing 5 assists in 5 games
门将
AZ's goalkeeper is Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro with 20 season appearances
AZ has kept 9 clean sheets this season
For FC Twente, Lars Unnerstall is in goal, making 30 season appearances
FC Twente recorded 7 clean sheets
影响因素
The AFAS Stadion saw an average of 3.2 total goals per game in AZ's last 5 home matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of these 5 games
AZ demonstrates solid home performance with an average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded at home