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Eredivisie

FC Groningen - Excelsior

05/02/2026, 04:45 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
FC Groningen
1.8
Total xG
3.3
Excelsior
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
FGEXC

FC Groningen

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
S. Resink未进大名单 (5球, 5助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅79%可用)

Excelsior

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.18
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.18
Ilias Bronkhorst替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

26%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

74%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: FC Groningen has a home win probability of 43% and is expected to score 1.78 goals
  • Form advantage: FC Groningen has more stable form (2W, 2D, 1L) than Excelsior (1W, 2D, 2L) in the last five games
  • Offensive strength: FC Groningen recently averaged 5.8 shots on target, Excelsior 4.8
风险因素
  • Excelsior concedes an average of 2.00 goals per away game
  • S. Resink (Cruciate Ligament Injury) is missing for FC Groningen, with only 79% of seasonal goal threat available
概述

FC Groningen (9th place, 42 points) host Excelsior (14th place, 31 points) at the Euroborg

Eredivisie match on May 2, 2026, 6:45 PM

FC Groningen is in the mid-table, while Excelsior is in a relegation battle and needs points for survival

近期状态

Home team FC Groningen shows a form of DWWDL

This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Their last game ended in a 1-3 loss against Feyenoord

Excelsior has a form of LDLDW

This means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

In their last match, they celebrated a 5-0 victory against FC Utrecht

统计数据

FC Groningen scores an average of 1.39 goals per game and concedes 1.29 goals

At home, they score 1.35 goals and concede only 0.82 goals per home game

Excelsior scores an average of 1.16 goals and concedes 1.65 goals per game

Away from home, Excelsior concedes an average of 2.00 goals per game

FC Groningen is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.5)

Excelsior is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.2)

The Euroborg sees an average of 2.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and 4 of 5 games had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 1 direct encounter, FC Groningen secured 1 victory

Excelsior has not won any of the matches, and there have been no draws

The goal difference is 2:0 in favor of FC Groningen

The last meeting on December 5, 2025, ended with a 0-2 away win for FC Groningen against Excelsior

关键球员

For FC Groningen, Thom van Bergen is a key offensive player with 9 goals and 4 assists, and a performance of 3 goals and 1 assist in the last five games

Younes Taha contributes 4 goals and 7 assists

Dies Janse, a defender, recently showed rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

For Excelsior, Derensili Sanches Fernandes stands out with 5 season goals and 3 assists, scoring 4 goals in the last 5 games

Noah Naujoks has 9 goals and 1 assist this season

Irakli Yegoian contributed 5 goals and 2 assists

门将

Etienne Vaessen, the goalkeeper for FC Groningen, played 26 games with an average rating of 6.85

He showed a slightly declining form in the last 5 games

FC Groningen has achieved 10 clean sheets this season

Stijn van Gassel of Excelsior was in goal for 29 games with an average rating of 7.17

He shows stable form and improved in the last 5 games

Excelsior achieved 6 clean sheets

影响因素

FC Groningen has a strong defense at home, conceding an average of 0.82 goals

The home strength of FC Groningen is reflected in 1.35 goals scored per home game

The grass pitch at Euroborg provides a traditional playing surface

The Euroborg venue records an average of 2.6 total goals per game, with over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches

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