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Eredivisie

FC Utrecht - NAC Breda

05/02/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
FC Utrecht
1.5
Total xG
2.4
NAC Breda
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
FUNB

FC Utrecht

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.41
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.19
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.19
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第17位, 相差9位)
+0.06
Matisse Didden未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

NAC Breda

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-0.59
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.46
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.16
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第8位, 相差9位)
-0.09
Charles-Andreas Brym替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Raul Paula替补席 (2球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

30%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

70%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • FC Utrecht's strong home performance (1.59 goals scored, 0.76 goals conceded) meets NAC Breda's weak away defense (2.5 goals conceded per away game)
  • FC Utrecht shows a positive offensive trend (currently 2.2 goals, season average 1.6), while NAC Breda's goal production is stagnant (currently 0.5 goals, season average 1.0)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 49% for FC Utrecht with 1.47 expected home goals
风险因素
  • NAC Breda concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
  • FC Utrecht's recent 0-5 away defeat against Excelsior indicates a defensive vulnerability
概述

FC Utrecht (8th place, 44 points) host NAC Breda (17th place, 25 points) at Stadion Galgenwaard. The Eredivisie match takes place on May 2, 2026, 4:30 PM. Utrecht aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table, while Breda fights against relegation.

近期状态

FC Utrecht's form across all competitions is WWLWL, which corresponds to 3 wins and 2 losses. Most recently, they suffered a 0-5 away loss against Excelsior, preceded by a 4-1 home win against Telstar. NAC Breda's form across all competitions is LLDDL, with 2 draws and 3 losses. Their last match was a 0-2 home loss against Ajax, following a 1-1 away draw against Fortuna Sittard. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

FC Utrecht averages 1.58 goals scored per game and concedes 1.32 goals this season. At home, they score 1.59 goals and concede only 0.76 goals per home game. Overall, Utrecht has secured 7 clean sheets. NAC Breda averages 0.97 goals scored per game and concedes 1.71 goals. Away, their average is 1.0 goals scored and a high 2.5 goals conceded per away game. Breda achieved 5 clean sheets. At Stadion Galgenwaard, the last 5 games have seen an average of 2.4 goals per match, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5 games. FC Utrecht is currently scoring more frequently (2.2) than their season average (1.6). NAC Breda's goal production is stagnant (0.5), with a season average of 1.0.

历史交锋

In the 3 direct encounters between FC Utrecht and NAC Breda, FC Utrecht has 2 wins, NAC Breda has 0 wins, and there has been 1 draw. The goal difference is 4:2 in favor of FC Utrecht. The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on December 14, 2025. FC Utrecht has been more dominant in recent head-to-head matches.

关键球员

For FC Utrecht, Gjivai Zechiël (Midfielder) with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, Yoann Cathline (Attacker) with 0 goals and 2 assists and a rising form, and Dani de Wit (Midfielder) with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games are key players. For NAC Breda, Mohamed Nassoh (Midfielder) stands out with 2 goals in the last 5 games and rising form, followed by Clint Leemans (Midfielder) and André Ayew (Attacker), both showing stable form.

门将

FC Utrecht's goalkeeper, Vasilios Barkas, has recorded 7 clean sheets this season and shows a rising form in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.23. Daniel Bielica, NAC Breda's goalkeeper, achieved 5 clean sheets this season, but his form has been declining recently, with an average rating of 6.47 in the last 5 games.

影响因素

Stadion Galgenwaard has seen an average of 2.4 total goals per game in the last 5 matches. FC Utrecht demonstrates a strong offense at home, averaging 1.59 goals scored, and a solid defense, conceding only 0.76 goals. NAC Breda, however, concedes an average of 2.5 goals in away games, suggesting a clear home advantage for Utrecht. No weather data is available.

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