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Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen - Telstar

05/02/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
NEC Nijmegen
2.5
Total xG
3.7
Telstar
1.2
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

3:0

6%

2:2

6%

4:1

5%
xG 分解
NNTEL

NEC Nijmegen

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1.8 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第16位, 相差13位)
+0.15
Başar Önal未进大名单 (7球, 6助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)

Telstar

防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.41
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第3位, 相差13位)
-0.18
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.05
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

64%

平局

20%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

90%

Under 1.5

10%

Over 2.5

72%

Under 2.5

28%

Over 3.5

51%

Under 3.5

49%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

36%

非平局

80%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • NEC Nijmegen is the favorite for a home win with 64% according to mathematical analysis
  • NEC Nijmegen (3rd place) significantly outperforms Telstar (16th place) in the league standings
  • NEC Nijmegen's home offense (2.38 goals/game) faces Telstar's vulnerable away defense (2.27 goals conceded/game)
风险因素
  • NEC Nijmegen's goal production is currently stagnating (1.8 goals), while the season average is 2.4 goals
  • Telstar shows a positive form trend in recent matches, currently scoring more frequently (1.6) than their season average (1.4)
概述

NEC Nijmegen (3rd place, 55 points) hosts Telstar (16th place, 30 points) at Goffertstadion

Eredivisie match on May 2, 2026, 9:00 PM

NEC is fighting for a top position in the league

Telstar is in the relegation zone and needs points

近期状态

NEC Nijmegen shows good form with WDWDD

The team achieved 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games

Telstar's current form is LWLLW

They recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

NEC Nijmegen scores an average of 2.38 goals per home game

The home team concedes an average of 1.44 goals

Telstar scores an average of 1.36 goals per away game

Telstar concedes an average of 2.27 goals per away match

At Goffertstadion, an average of 3.6 goals are scored per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games at Goffertstadion

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games at Goffertstadion

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between NEC Nijmegen and Telstar so far

The only encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on December 13, 2025

The historical balance is even

关键球员

For NEC Nijmegen, Bryan Linssen is a key attacker with 11 goals and 7 assists, scoring 4 goals in the last 5 games

Tjaronn Chery is a central figure in midfield with 9 goals and 6 assists, scoring 2 times in the last 5 games

Sami Ouaissa provided 6 goals and 5 assists this season, assisting 3 goals in the last 5 games and his form is rising

For Telstar, Sem van Duijn is a key attacking player with 4 goals and 2 assists, scoring 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games and his form is rising

Patrick Brouwer contributed 7 goals and 5 assists, scoring 1 goal and assisting 2 goals in the last 5 games

Jeff Hardeveld recorded 5 goals and 6 assists, scoring 1 goal in the last 5 games

门将

NEC Nijmegen's goalkeeper Gonzalo Crettaz had 5 clean sheets in 28 appearances

Telstar's goalkeeper Ronald Koeman Jr. achieved 4 clean sheets in 30 appearances

影响因素

NEC Nijmegen has a home advantage with an average of 2.38 home goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded

Telstar is vulnerable away with 2.27 goals conceded per game

The playing surface is grass

Matches at Goffertstadion tend to be high-scoring with 3.6 goals per game

Both teams score in 80% of games at Goffertstadion

Over 2.5 goals are scored in 80% of games at Goffertstadion

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